BIIB Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 47 trades in period
+9.79%
Last Year Return
$8,510.13
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$7,751.46
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
4.3/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 3.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
256 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,751.46
Current Value
$8,510.13
Period P&L
$758.67
Max Drawdown
-31.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
19 /
28
Best Trade
+8.86%
Worst Trade
-5.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$740,586.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$758.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$758.67
Gross Return
+9.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 256 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,751.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 2:20pm ET | $138.29 | 56 | $7,744.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 2:50pm ET | $140.34 | 56 | $7,859.04 | $7,866.26 |
+$114.80 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 2:55pm ET | $140.46 | 56 | $7,865.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $146.65 | 56 | $8,212.40 | $8,212.90 |
+$346.64 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $147.79 | 55 | $8,128.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 11:00am ET | $146.06 | 55 | $8,033.30 | $8,117.75 |
$-95.15 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $158.45 | 51 | $8,080.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $156.28 | 51 | $7,970.28 | $8,007.08 |
$-110.67 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 12:50pm ET | $145.54 | 55 | $8,004.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $144.05 | 55 | $7,922.75 | $7,925.30 |
$-81.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $147.46 | 53 | $7,815.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 10:50am ET | $145.93 | 53 | $7,734.03 | $7,843.95 |
$-81.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 11:35am ET | $143.75 | 54 | $7,762.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $147.46 | 54 | $7,962.84 | $8,044.29 |
+$200.34 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 11:20am ET | $147.21 | 54 | $7,949.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 2:50pm ET | $145.69 | 54 | $7,867.26 | $7,962.48 |
$-81.81 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $148.90 | 53 | $7,891.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 12:30pm ET | $147.00 | 53 | $7,791.00 | $7,861.78 |
$-100.70 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $150.16 | 52 | $7,808.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:25am ET | $149.90 | 52 | $7,794.80 | $7,848.26 |
$-13.52 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 12:25pm ET | $149.87 | 52 | $7,793.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $148.20 | 52 | $7,706.40 | $7,761.42 |
$-86.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $149.18 | 52 | $7,757.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 10:25am ET | $147.55 | 52 | $7,672.60 | $7,676.92 |
$-84.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:05am ET | $152.50 | 50 | $7,625.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $150.19 | 50 | $7,509.50 | $7,561.42 |
$-115.50 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $152.22 | 49 | $7,458.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 11:40am ET | $150.66 | 49 | $7,382.34 | $7,484.98 |
$-76.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:10pm ET | $157.72 | 47 | $7,412.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $162.22 | 47 | $7,624.34 | $7,696.48 |
+$211.50 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:10am ET | $166.53 | 46 | $7,660.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:05pm ET | $164.85 | 46 | $7,583.10 | $7,619.20 |
$-77.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET | $167.79 | 45 | $7,550.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $164.77 | 45 | $7,414.65 | $7,483.30 |
$-135.90 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET | $167.00 | 44 | $7,348.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:15am ET | $168.22 | 44 | $7,401.46 | $7,536.76 |
+$53.46 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:05am ET | $169.99 | 44 | $7,479.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $171.67 | 44 | $7,553.48 | $7,610.68 |
+$73.92 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:40am ET | $171.58 | 44 | $7,549.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $180.96 | 44 | $7,962.24 | $8,023.62 |
+$412.94 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:05am ET | $182.82 | 43 | $7,861.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $180.66 | 43 | $7,768.38 | $7,930.68 |
$-92.94 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET | $182.52 | 43 | $7,848.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:05am ET | $182.68 | 43 | $7,855.03 | $7,937.35 |
+$6.67 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET | $183.03 | 43 | $7,870.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:40am ET | $181.64 | 43 | $7,810.52 | $7,877.58 |
$-59.77 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $178.63 | 44 | $7,859.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $182.01 | 44 | $8,008.22 | $8,026.08 |
+$148.50 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $175.09 | 45 | $7,878.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $180.47 | 45 | $8,121.15 | $8,268.41 |
+$242.33 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:35am ET | $180.26 | 45 | $8,111.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:50pm ET | $178.36 | 45 | $8,026.31 | $8,183.25 |
$-85.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $174.65 | 46 | $8,034.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $172.70 | 46 | $7,944.20 | $8,093.43 |
$-89.82 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET | $174.34 | 46 | $8,019.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $170.94 | 46 | $7,863.01 | $7,936.80 |
$-156.63 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:40am ET | $172.43 | 46 | $7,931.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $170.24 | 46 | $7,831.04 | $7,836.06 |
$-100.74 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 2:45pm ET | $175.46 | 44 | $7,720.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:30pm ET | $173.54 | 44 | $7,635.54 | $7,751.36 |
$-84.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $177.13 | 43 | $7,616.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $176.23 | 43 | $7,577.68 | $7,712.44 |
$-38.92 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $178.23 | 43 | $7,663.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $175.63 | 43 | $7,551.88 | $7,600.42 |
$-112.02 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $181.49 | 41 | $7,441.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $186.09 | 41 | $7,629.69 | $7,789.02 |
+$188.60 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:20am ET | $186.18 | 41 | $7,633.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $184.25 | 41 | $7,554.05 | $7,709.79 |
$-79.23 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $163.97 | 47 | $7,706.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $169.12 | 47 | $7,948.64 | $7,952.08 |
+$242.29 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $170.37 | 46 | $7,837.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $174.69 | 46 | $8,035.74 | $8,150.80 |
+$198.72 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $174.60 | 46 | $8,031.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $171.93 | 46 | $7,908.78 | $8,028.21 |
$-122.59 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $173.66 | 46 | $7,988.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $174.17 | 46 | $8,011.59 | $8,051.44 |
+$23.23 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $177.17 | 45 | $7,972.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:20pm ET | $178.00 | 45 | $8,010.00 | $8,088.79 |
+$37.35 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $178.62 | 45 | $8,037.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $181.40 | 45 | $8,162.96 | $8,213.85 |
+$125.06 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $182.33 | 45 | $8,204.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $187.35 | 45 | $8,430.75 | $8,439.75 |
+$225.90 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $187.51 | 45 | $8,437.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $185.53 | 45 | $8,348.85 | $8,350.65 |
$-89.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $199.78 | 41 | $8,190.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $195.35 | 41 | $8,009.15 | $8,168.82 |
$-181.83 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $191.57 | 42 | $8,045.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $195.94 | 42 | $8,229.48 | $8,352.57 |
+$183.75 (+2.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $195.84 | 42 | $8,225.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $193.57 | 42 | $8,129.94 | $8,257.23 |
$-95.34 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.40 | 45 | $8,118.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.38 | 45 | $8,837.10 | $8,976.33 |
+$719.10 (+8.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.89 | 42 | $8,941.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.79 | 42 | $8,475.18 | $8,510.13 |
$-466.20 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,510.13
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,489.87
Total Return:
-14.90%