C Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 38 trades in period
+35.99%
Last Year Return
$17,537.33
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$12,896.29
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jul 14, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.8/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality
51.7/100
× Confidence 0.72
= 37.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,896.29
Current Value
$17,537.33
Period P&L
$4,641.04
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
21 /
17
Best Trade
+16.84%
Worst Trade
-1.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,063,863.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,641.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,641.04
Gross Return
+35.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.99%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,896.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $101.68 | 126 | $12,811.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $102.68 | 126 | $12,937.68 | $13,022.29 |
+$126.00 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $97.22 | 133 | $12,930.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $96.10 | 133 | $12,781.30 | $12,873.33 |
$-148.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 11:30am ET | $96.88 | 132 | $12,788.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 11:55am ET | $99.39 | 132 | $13,118.94 | $13,204.11 |
+$330.78 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 12:00pm ET | $99.48 | 132 | $13,131.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 12:30pm ET | $99.74 | 132 | $13,165.68 | $13,238.43 |
+$34.32 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:10am ET | $96.89 | 136 | $13,177.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $99.06 | 136 | $13,472.16 | $13,533.55 |
+$295.12 (+2.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $99.24 | 136 | $13,496.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 11:15am ET | $98.83 | 136 | $13,440.88 | $13,477.79 |
$-55.76 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $99.22 | 135 | $13,394.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 11:35am ET | $100.29 | 135 | $13,539.15 | $13,622.24 |
+$144.45 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 1:25pm ET | $100.86 | 135 | $13,615.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 1:55pm ET | $101.07 | 135 | $13,644.45 | $13,651.26 |
+$29.02 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:40am ET | $100.89 | 135 | $13,619.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 11:10am ET | $100.20 | 135 | $13,527.00 | $13,558.78 |
$-92.48 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 2:35pm ET | $100.97 | 134 | $13,529.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $99.95 | 134 | $13,393.30 | $13,422.77 |
$-136.01 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 2:25pm ET | $101.38 | 132 | $13,382.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 2:55pm ET | $100.67 | 132 | $13,288.44 | $13,329.05 |
$-93.72 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 12:05pm ET | $101.70 | 131 | $13,322.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $100.64 | 131 | $13,183.84 | $13,190.85 |
$-138.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET | $100.60 | 131 | $13,177.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $100.36 | 131 | $13,147.16 | $13,160.07 |
$-30.78 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET | $100.35 | 131 | $13,145.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:10am ET | $99.22 | 131 | $12,997.82 | $13,012.04 |
$-148.03 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $98.40 | 132 | $12,988.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:55am ET | $99.92 | 132 | $13,189.44 | $13,212.68 |
+$200.64 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 12:05pm ET | $98.78 | 133 | $13,137.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:35pm ET | $100.00 | 133 | $13,300.00 | $13,375.60 |
+$162.92 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:40pm ET | $100.09 | 133 | $13,311.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 1:10pm ET | $100.80 | 133 | $13,406.40 | $13,470.03 |
+$94.43 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET | $103.10 | 130 | $13,402.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $104.28 | 130 | $13,555.75 | $13,623.43 |
+$153.40 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:35am ET | $104.20 | 130 | $13,546.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $103.16 | 130 | $13,410.15 | $13,487.58 |
$-135.85 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:45am ET | $104.10 | 129 | $13,428.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 11:15am ET | $105.21 | 129 | $13,571.45 | $13,630.13 |
+$142.55 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:20am ET | $105.25 | 129 | $13,577.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $108.22 | 129 | $13,960.04 | $14,012.92 |
+$382.79 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $108.19 | 129 | $13,956.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:50am ET | $108.82 | 129 | $14,037.14 | $14,093.55 |
+$80.63 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:40pm ET | $109.29 | 128 | $13,989.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 12:30pm ET | $108.13 | 128 | $13,840.38 | $13,944.81 |
$-148.74 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $111.27 | 125 | $13,908.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:00pm ET | $111.68 | 125 | $13,960.00 | $13,996.06 |
+$51.25 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $114.72 | 122 | $13,995.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:50am ET | $116.95 | 122 | $14,267.89 | $14,268.11 |
+$272.05 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 11:10am ET | $117.45 | 121 | $14,211.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:40am ET | $119.65 | 121 | $14,477.65 | $14,534.31 |
+$266.20 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 12:10pm ET | $119.83 | 121 | $14,498.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 12:40pm ET | $122.03 | 121 | $14,765.63 | $14,801.12 |
+$266.81 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $117.78 | 125 | $14,721.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $122.81 | 125 | $15,351.25 | $15,430.50 |
+$629.38 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $123.27 | 125 | $15,408.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $123.25 | 125 | $15,406.25 | $15,428.00 |
$-2.50 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $122.20 | 126 | $15,397.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $120.94 | 126 | $15,238.44 | $15,269.24 |
$-158.76 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $117.54 | 129 | $15,162.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $117.46 | 129 | $15,151.70 | $15,258.27 |
$-10.97 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $115.95 | 131 | $15,189.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $114.73 | 131 | $15,029.63 | $15,098.45 |
$-159.82 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $116.45 | 129 | $15,022.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $115.18 | 129 | $14,858.22 | $14,934.62 |
$-163.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $116.41 | 128 | $14,900.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $117.12 | 128 | $14,991.36 | $15,025.50 |
+$90.88 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $121.33 | 123 | $14,923.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $124.25 | 123 | $15,282.75 | $15,384.66 |
+$359.16 (+2.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $124.56 | 123 | $15,320.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $122.85 | 123 | $15,110.55 | $15,174.33 |
$-210.33 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $111.25 | 136 | $15,129.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $110.10 | 136 | $14,973.60 | $15,018.61 |
$-155.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.00 | 136 | $14,960.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.52 | 136 | $17,478.72 | $17,537.33 |
+$2,518.72 (+16.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,537.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,537.33
Total Return:
+75.37%