CMCSA Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 41 trades in period
-13.33%
Last Year Return
$8,610.38
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$9,934.87
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
6.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 6.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,966
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,934.87
Current Value
$8,610.38
Period P&L
$-1,324.49
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
18 /
23
Best Trade
+3.66%
Worst Trade
-5.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$773,508.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,324.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,324.49
Gross Return
-13.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,934.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $31.79 | 312 | $9,916.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 1:35pm ET | $31.40 | 312 | $9,796.80 | $9,814.75 |
$-120.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $31.03 | 316 | $9,804.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $30.45 | 316 | $9,621.03 | $9,631.72 |
$-183.03 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 3:35pm ET | $30.94 | 311 | $9,620.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $30.60 | 311 | $9,516.60 | $9,527.54 |
$-104.18 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $30.91 | 308 | $9,520.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:35am ET | $30.57 | 308 | $9,414.02 | $9,421.19 |
$-106.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:10am ET | $29.91 | 314 | $9,391.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:40am ET | $29.72 | 314 | $9,330.51 | $9,359.96 |
$-61.23 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 3:10pm ET | $29.51 | 317 | $9,353.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 3:40pm ET | $29.57 | 317 | $9,372.11 | $9,378.98 |
+$19.02 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 10:10am ET | $29.92 | 313 | $9,363.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $29.52 | 313 | $9,239.67 | $9,255.25 |
$-123.73 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $27.42 | 337 | $9,238.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 10:05am ET | $27.05 | 337 | $9,114.17 | $9,130.56 |
$-124.69 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:50am ET | $27.31 | 334 | $9,121.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $26.98 | 334 | $9,009.65 | $9,018.57 |
$-111.99 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 12:30pm ET | $27.35 | 329 | $8,996.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $27.52 | 329 | $9,052.44 | $9,074.24 |
+$55.67 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $27.91 | 325 | $9,069.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $27.54 | 325 | $8,948.88 | $8,953.99 |
$-120.25 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:00pm ET | $27.51 | 325 | $8,939.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 12:30pm ET | $27.72 | 325 | $9,007.38 | $9,022.24 |
+$68.25 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 1:25pm ET | $27.75 | 325 | $9,018.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:55pm ET | $28.23 | 325 | $9,173.13 | $9,176.62 |
+$154.38 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:05am ET | $27.08 | 338 | $9,153.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $27.04 | 338 | $9,137.83 | $9,161.41 |
$-15.21 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:25am ET | $26.83 | 341 | $9,147.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $26.56 | 341 | $9,055.26 | $9,069.34 |
$-92.07 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:50pm ET | $27.21 | 333 | $9,059.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 2:05pm ET | $26.87 | 333 | $8,946.05 | $8,956.09 |
$-113.25 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 12:35pm ET | $27.44 | 326 | $8,943.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:05pm ET | $27.35 | 326 | $8,916.10 | $8,928.38 |
$-27.71 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:45am ET | $26.87 | 332 | $8,919.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:15pm ET | $27.08 | 332 | $8,988.90 | $8,998.10 |
+$69.72 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:45pm ET | $27.12 | 331 | $8,975.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:15pm ET | $27.42 | 331 | $9,076.02 | $9,099.06 |
+$100.96 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET | $27.89 | 326 | $9,090.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $28.91 | 326 | $9,423.03 | $9,431.58 |
+$332.52 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $29.02 | 325 | $9,429.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:30pm ET | $29.79 | 325 | $9,680.13 | $9,681.83 |
+$250.25 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $29.94 | 323 | $9,669.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:35am ET | $30.22 | 323 | $9,761.06 | $9,773.89 |
+$92.06 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $30.33 | 322 | $9,764.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $29.98 | 322 | $9,651.95 | $9,661.19 |
$-112.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $29.81 | 324 | $9,656.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $29.66 | 324 | $9,608.22 | $9,612.56 |
$-48.63 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 2:45pm ET | $29.89 | 321 | $9,594.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:15pm ET | $30.00 | 321 | $9,628.40 | $9,646.27 |
+$33.71 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 11:15am ET | $30.02 | 321 | $9,636.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $29.62 | 321 | $9,506.42 | $9,516.30 |
$-129.97 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $28.37 | 335 | $9,503.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $28.08 | 335 | $9,405.13 | $9,417.47 |
$-98.83 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $27.97 | 336 | $9,396.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $28.29 | 336 | $9,505.44 | $9,526.67 |
+$109.20 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $28.39 | 335 | $9,510.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $29.11 | 335 | $9,751.85 | $9,767.87 |
+$241.20 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $29.08 | 335 | $9,741.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $28.78 | 335 | $9,641.30 | $9,667.37 |
$-100.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $28.23 | 342 | $9,654.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $28.60 | 342 | $9,779.49 | $9,792.20 |
+$124.83 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $28.95 | 338 | $9,785.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $29.05 | 338 | $9,817.21 | $9,824.31 |
+$32.11 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $29.23 | 336 | $9,819.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $29.45 | 336 | $9,893.52 | $9,898.23 |
+$73.92 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $29.60 | 334 | $9,884.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $29.30 | 334 | $9,784.53 | $9,798.03 |
$-100.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $30.74 | 318 | $9,775.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $30.41 | 318 | $9,670.38 | $9,693.09 |
$-104.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $31.31 | 309 | $9,674.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $31.47 | 309 | $9,722.69 | $9,740.99 |
+$47.90 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $31.51 | 309 | $9,738.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $32.24 | 309 | $9,960.62 | $9,963.47 |
+$222.48 (+2.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $32.28 | 308 | $9,940.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $32.56 | 308 | $10,030.02 | $10,052.79 |
+$89.32 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.45 | 330 | $10,048.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:50am ET | $28.92 | 330 | $9,541.95 | $9,546.24 |
$-506.55 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.15 | 379 | $9,531.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $23.79 | 379 | $9,016.41 | $9,030.80 |
$-515.44 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.77 | 364 | $9,016.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.61 | 364 | $8,595.86 | $8,610.38 |
$-420.42 (-4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,610.38
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,389.62
Total Return:
-13.90%