CRWD Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 44 trades in period
+24.62%
Last Year Return
$17,268.15
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$13,856.92
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
31.7/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 30.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,624
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,856.92
Current Value
$17,268.15
Period P&L
$3,411.23
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
15 /
29
Best Trade
+15.30%
Worst Trade
-6.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,174,309.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,411.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,411.23
Gross Return
+24.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.62%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,856.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $482.33 | 28 | $13,505.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $477.00 | 28 | $13,356.00 | $13,707.82 |
$-149.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 3:25pm ET | $497.20 | 27 | $13,424.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $496.86 | 27 | $13,415.22 | $13,698.64 |
$-9.18 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 11:35am ET | $504.25 | 27 | $13,614.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 12:05pm ET | $508.85 | 27 | $13,738.95 | $13,822.84 |
+$124.20 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $507.58 | 27 | $13,704.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $498.00 | 27 | $13,446.00 | $13,564.15 |
$-258.69 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $496.98 | 27 | $13,418.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 11:10am ET | $504.69 | 27 | $13,626.63 | $13,772.32 |
+$208.17 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 10:10am ET | $518.51 | 26 | $13,481.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:15am ET | $511.72 | 26 | $13,304.59 | $13,595.65 |
$-176.67 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 11:25am ET | $546.38 | 24 | $13,113.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $540.25 | 24 | $12,966.00 | $13,448.53 |
$-147.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 12:00pm ET | $546.51 | 24 | $13,116.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $546.43 | 24 | $13,114.20 | $13,446.49 |
$-2.04 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $555.70 | 24 | $13,336.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:25pm ET | $549.83 | 24 | $13,195.92 | $13,305.61 |
$-140.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 2:10pm ET | $531.63 | 25 | $13,290.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $521.72 | 25 | $13,042.90 | $13,057.88 |
$-247.73 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:55pm ET | $535.12 | 24 | $12,842.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $551.02 | 24 | $13,224.36 | $13,439.48 |
+$381.60 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 3:05pm ET | $555.88 | 24 | $13,341.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:35pm ET | $557.00 | 24 | $13,368.00 | $13,466.48 |
+$27.00 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $531.65 | 25 | $13,291.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $536.95 | 25 | $13,423.63 | $13,598.86 |
+$132.38 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $502.83 | 27 | $13,576.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $496.81 | 27 | $13,413.74 | $13,436.32 |
$-162.54 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:05pm ET | $508.26 | 26 | $13,214.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $502.84 | 26 | $13,073.84 | $13,295.40 |
$-140.92 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:05pm ET | $505.87 | 26 | $13,152.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 2:35pm ET | $516.29 | 26 | $13,423.54 | $13,566.45 |
+$271.05 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:10am ET | $508.97 | 26 | $13,233.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET | $522.19 | 26 | $13,576.94 | $13,910.30 |
+$343.85 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $522.21 | 26 | $13,577.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:15pm ET | $515.53 | 26 | $13,403.65 | $13,736.49 |
$-173.81 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 12:40pm ET | $519.20 | 26 | $13,499.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 3:45pm ET | $512.70 | 26 | $13,330.20 | $13,567.49 |
$-169.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:50pm ET | $518.20 | 26 | $13,473.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:20pm ET | $519.17 | 26 | $13,498.42 | $13,592.68 |
+$25.19 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 2:00pm ET | $488.43 | 27 | $13,187.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $483.37 | 27 | $13,050.99 | $13,456.06 |
$-136.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 12:50pm ET | $485.11 | 27 | $13,097.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $475.27 | 27 | $12,832.29 | $13,190.38 |
$-265.68 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $480.47 | 27 | $12,972.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 11:25am ET | $476.89 | 27 | $12,876.03 | $13,093.86 |
$-96.52 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $464.33 | 28 | $13,001.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $459.49 | 28 | $12,865.72 | $12,958.34 |
$-135.52 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $459.68 | 28 | $12,871.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $474.51 | 28 | $13,286.14 | $13,373.44 |
+$415.10 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $480.20 | 27 | $12,965.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $469.00 | 27 | $12,663.00 | $13,071.04 |
$-302.40 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $467.96 | 27 | $12,634.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $462.40 | 27 | $12,484.78 | $12,920.90 |
$-150.14 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $458.98 | 28 | $12,851.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $454.26 | 28 | $12,719.28 | $12,788.74 |
$-132.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $454.14 | 28 | $12,715.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $449.11 | 28 | $12,575.08 | $12,647.90 |
$-140.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $457.57 | 27 | $12,354.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $452.98 | 27 | $12,230.44 | $12,523.95 |
$-123.95 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $464.95 | 26 | $12,088.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $483.00 | 26 | $12,558.00 | $12,993.38 |
+$469.43 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $415.82 | 31 | $12,890.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $411.39 | 31 | $12,753.06 | $12,855.92 |
$-137.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $399.67 | 32 | $12,789.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $410.21 | 32 | $13,126.72 | $13,193.20 |
+$337.28 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $411.09 | 32 | $13,154.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $405.77 | 32 | $12,984.64 | $13,022.96 |
$-170.24 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $429.94 | 30 | $12,898.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $429.44 | 30 | $12,883.20 | $13,007.96 |
$-15.00 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $445.55 | 29 | $12,920.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $416.44 | 29 | $12,076.76 | $12,163.77 |
$-844.19 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $447.65 | 27 | $12,086.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $424.34 | 27 | $11,457.18 | $11,534.40 |
$-629.37 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.34 | 28 | $11,433.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $470.40 | 28 | $13,171.20 | $13,272.08 |
+$1,737.68 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.00 | 27 | $13,176.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $561.70 | 27 | $15,165.90 | $15,261.98 |
+$1,989.90 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $694.87 | 21 | $14,592.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $659.35 | 21 | $13,846.35 | $14,516.06 |
$-745.92 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.28 | 80 | $14,422.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $207.87 | 80 | $16,629.60 | $16,723.26 |
+$2,207.20 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.65 | 85 | $16,545.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $184.04 | 85 | $15,643.40 | $15,821.41 |
$-901.85 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.20 | 75 | $15,615.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $197.40 | 75 | $14,804.63 | $15,010.95 |
$-810.46 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.00 | 72 | $14,976.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $239.35 | 72 | $17,233.20 | $17,268.15 |
+$2,257.20 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,268.15
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,268.15
Total Return:
+72.68%