Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:36:45

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
5.5/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 13.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,608
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-07-28 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,643.57
Current Value
$10,353.13
Period P&L
$1,709.56
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
27 / 25
Best Trade
+6.03%
Worst Trade
-1.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$933,837.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,709.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,709.56
Gross Return
+19.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 52 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,643.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 11:20am ET $68.64 125 $8,580.00
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 10:00am ET $67.92 125 $8,489.38 $8,536.70 $-90.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 10:15am ET $68.40 124 $8,481.60
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:45am ET $69.03 124 $8,559.73 $8,614.83 +$78.13
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 10:35am ET $68.53 125 $8,566.25
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 11:05am ET $69.28 125 $8,660.00 $8,708.58 +$93.75
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:05am ET $71.01 122 $8,662.61
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:35am ET $71.26 122 $8,693.11 $8,739.08 +$30.50
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 12:05pm ET $71.21 122 $8,687.01
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 12:35pm ET $70.55 122 $8,607.10 $8,659.17 $-79.91
(-0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 3:50pm ET $67.11 129 $8,656.55
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:20am ET $66.76 129 $8,612.04 $8,614.67 $-44.50
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $67.90 126 $8,555.40
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 12:15pm ET $67.17 126 $8,462.79 $8,522.06 $-92.61
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 10:20am ET $68.27 124 $8,464.86
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 10:50am ET $68.49 124 $8,492.14 $8,549.34 +$27.28
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 11:55am ET $68.74 124 $8,523.14
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 12:25pm ET $69.35 124 $8,598.78 $8,624.98 +$75.64
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 12:30pm ET $69.29 124 $8,592.05
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $68.95 124 $8,549.18 $8,582.11 $-42.87
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 2:45pm ET $67.41 127 $8,560.44
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 3:15pm ET $68.08 127 $8,645.53 $8,667.20 +$85.09
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 11:55am ET $67.38 128 $8,624.64
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $68.25 128 $8,735.36 $8,777.92 +$110.72
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 12:45pm ET $68.37 128 $8,750.91
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:00am ET $67.33 128 $8,618.23 $8,645.24 $-132.68
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET $67.87 127 $8,619.49
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:15am ET $67.18 127 $8,531.86 $8,557.61 $-87.63
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:25am ET $68.67 124 $8,514.46
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET $67.90 124 $8,419.60 $8,462.75 $-94.86
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 1:45pm ET $68.33 123 $8,404.59
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 2:15pm ET $68.59 123 $8,436.83 $8,494.99 +$32.24
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 3:50pm ET $68.91 123 $8,475.93
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 10:20am ET $70.07 123 $8,618.61 $8,637.67 +$142.68
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $70.48 122 $8,597.95
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 12:30pm ET $69.68 122 $8,500.96 $8,540.68 $-96.99
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET $67.77 126 $8,539.02
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET $69.78 126 $8,791.65 $8,793.31 +$252.63
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:15am ET $70.01 125 $8,750.64
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $69.17 125 $8,646.25 $8,688.92 $-104.39
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 11:45am ET $69.89 124 $8,665.74
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $70.40 124 $8,729.60 $8,752.78 +$63.86
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:40am ET $71.07 123 $8,741.61
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET $70.33 123 $8,650.59 $8,661.76 $-91.02
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 10:45am ET $71.20 121 $8,615.20
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 2:05pm ET $70.48 121 $8,528.08 $8,574.64 $-87.12
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 12:35pm ET $71.33 120 $8,559.00
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 1:05pm ET $71.99 120 $8,638.46 $8,654.10 +$79.46
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 1:10pm ET $71.97 120 $8,636.40
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 1:40pm ET $71.77 120 $8,612.40 $8,630.10 $-24.00
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 12:05pm ET $72.69 118 $8,577.42
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 12:35pm ET $72.99 118 $8,612.23 $8,664.91 +$34.81
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 2:35pm ET $73.10 118 $8,625.21
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 3:05pm ET $74.45 118 $8,785.10 $8,824.80 +$159.89
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:45pm ET $72.50 121 $8,772.50
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $71.47 121 $8,647.87 $8,700.17 $-124.63
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET $72.77 119 $8,659.63
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $77.16 119 $9,182.04 $9,222.58 +$522.41
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET $77.95 118 $9,198.10
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:50am ET $79.23 118 $9,349.15 $9,373.63 +$151.05
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET $79.19 118 $9,343.83
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $78.39 118 $9,249.43 $9,279.23 $-94.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $78.89 117 $9,230.13
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $77.93 117 $9,117.81 $9,166.91 $-112.32
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 12:05pm ET $76.59 119 $9,113.62
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:35pm ET $76.43 119 $9,095.17 $9,148.47 $-18.44
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:45am ET $76.52 119 $9,105.88
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:10pm ET $76.28 119 $9,076.73 $9,119.32 $-29.15
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 2:00pm ET $76.60 119 $9,114.81
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:30pm ET $77.56 119 $9,229.05 $9,233.56 +$114.24
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:35pm ET $77.53 119 $9,225.86
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:05pm ET $77.47 119 $9,218.34 $9,226.04 $-7.52
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:05am ET $79.39 116 $9,208.66
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:35am ET $79.86 116 $9,263.18 $9,280.56 +$54.52
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:40am ET $79.88 116 $9,266.08
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET $79.02 116 $9,165.74 $9,180.22 $-100.34
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:00am ET $77.71 118 $9,169.19
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:30am ET $78.18 118 $9,224.66 $9,235.69 +$55.47
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $78.39 117 $9,171.61
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:35pm ET $78.13 117 $9,141.69 $9,205.77 $-29.92
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $74.31 123 $9,140.13
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET $73.55 123 $9,046.65 $9,112.29 $-93.48
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $73.95 123 $9,095.24
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET $74.73 123 $9,191.79 $9,208.85 +$96.56
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET $74.36 123 $9,145.67
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $73.59 123 $9,051.57 $9,114.75 $-94.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET $74.65 122 $9,106.69
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $76.62 122 $9,348.18 $9,356.24 +$241.49
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $77.18 121 $9,339.23
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $78.83 121 $9,538.43 $9,555.44 +$199.20
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $78.81 121 $9,535.42
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $78.81 121 $9,535.41 $9,555.43 $-0.01
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $79.75 119 $9,490.84
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $82.02 119 $9,760.38 $9,824.96 +$269.53
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $82.77 118 $9,766.86
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $83.89 118 $9,899.61 $9,957.71 +$132.75
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $84.44 117 $9,879.48
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET $86.68 117 $10,140.98 $10,219.21 +$261.50
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $86.57 118 $10,215.85
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $87.08 118 $10,276.03 $10,279.39 +$60.18
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $74.97 137 $10,270.41
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $76.89 137 $10,534.61 $10,543.59 +$264.20
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
52 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $117.55 89 $10,461.95
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $115.41 89 $10,271.49 $10,353.13 $-190.46
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,353.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$353.13
Total Return: +3.53%
Back to Surge