DIS Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 32 trades in period
+3.27%
Last Year Return
$8,656.96
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,382.97
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,193
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,382.97
Current Value
$8,656.96
Period P&L
$273.99
Max Drawdown
-33.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
16 /
16
Best Trade
+8.41%
Worst Trade
-8.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$507,856.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$273.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$273.99
Gross Return
+3.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,382.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:30am ET | $114.05 | 73 | $8,325.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 11:00am ET | $113.61 | 73 | $8,293.62 | $8,350.94 |
$-32.03 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:50am ET | $113.04 | 73 | $8,251.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $111.61 | 73 | $8,147.53 | $8,246.55 |
$-104.39 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:10am ET | $110.98 | 74 | $8,212.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:40am ET | $112.31 | 74 | $8,310.57 | $8,344.60 |
+$98.05 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:10am ET | $111.17 | 75 | $8,337.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $111.43 | 75 | $8,357.25 | $8,364.10 |
+$19.50 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:30pm ET | $111.97 | 74 | $8,285.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 2:00pm ET | $114.09 | 74 | $8,442.66 | $8,520.98 |
+$156.88 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 2:05pm ET | $114.41 | 74 | $8,466.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 1:35pm ET | $113.17 | 74 | $8,374.58 | $8,429.22 |
$-91.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $112.80 | 74 | $8,347.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 11:05am ET | $111.92 | 74 | $8,282.09 | $8,364.11 |
$-65.11 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:15am ET | $112.23 | 74 | $8,305.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 11:45am ET | $111.75 | 74 | $8,269.50 | $8,328.59 |
$-35.52 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 12:15pm ET | $111.83 | 74 | $8,275.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $109.88 | 74 | $8,131.12 | $8,184.29 |
$-144.30 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:10am ET | $113.85 | 71 | $8,083.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:40am ET | $115.94 | 71 | $8,231.39 | $8,332.68 |
+$148.39 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 1:25pm ET | $116.67 | 71 | $8,283.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $107.13 | 71 | $7,606.23 | $7,655.34 |
$-677.34 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $104.24 | 73 | $7,609.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $102.83 | 73 | $7,506.59 | $7,552.41 |
$-102.93 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET | $103.59 | 72 | $7,458.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET | $104.01 | 72 | $7,488.72 | $7,582.65 |
+$30.24 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:25am ET | $104.46 | 72 | $7,521.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 1:50pm ET | $106.44 | 72 | $7,663.64 | $7,725.18 |
+$142.53 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 12:15pm ET | $107.08 | 72 | $7,709.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET | $106.64 | 72 | $7,678.08 | $7,693.50 |
$-31.68 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 10:45am ET | $107.74 | 71 | $7,649.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $110.62 | 71 | $7,854.02 | $7,897.98 |
+$204.48 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:40am ET | $112.33 | 70 | $7,862.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:10am ET | $112.80 | 70 | $7,896.00 | $7,931.23 |
+$33.25 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:30pm ET | $113.04 | 70 | $7,912.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $113.65 | 70 | $7,955.50 | $7,973.93 |
+$42.70 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $113.39 | 70 | $7,937.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $114.31 | 70 | $8,001.77 | $8,038.21 |
+$64.28 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $114.46 | 70 | $8,012.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET | $113.85 | 70 | $7,969.40 | $7,995.41 |
$-42.80 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $113.89 | 70 | $7,972.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $114.05 | 70 | $7,983.50 | $8,006.61 |
+$11.20 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $115.60 | 69 | $7,976.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $113.34 | 69 | $7,820.46 | $7,851.01 |
$-155.60 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $111.02 | 70 | $7,771.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $109.90 | 70 | $7,693.00 | $7,772.96 |
$-78.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $112.63 | 69 | $7,771.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $112.47 | 69 | $7,760.43 | $7,762.26 |
$-10.70 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $110.48 | 70 | $7,733.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $111.75 | 70 | $7,822.50 | $7,851.16 |
+$88.90 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $107.02 | 73 | $7,812.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $105.57 | 73 | $7,706.25 | $7,744.95 |
$-106.21 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $106.77 | 72 | $7,687.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $105.44 | 72 | $7,591.68 | $7,649.43 |
$-95.52 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $107.57 | 71 | $7,637.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $107.63 | 71 | $7,641.73 | $7,653.34 |
+$3.91 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $110.46 | 69 | $7,621.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $108.59 | 69 | $7,492.71 | $7,524.65 |
$-128.69 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $104.01 | 72 | $7,488.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $105.30 | 72 | $7,581.61 | $7,617.54 |
+$92.89 (+1.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.32 | 77 | $7,571.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.19 | 77 | $7,945.62 | $7,992.14 |
+$374.60 (+4.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
48d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.76 | 80 | $7,900.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.07 | 80 | $8,565.62 | $8,656.96 |
+$664.82 (+8.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,656.96
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,343.04
Total Return:
-13.43%