GILD Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 41 trades in period
+17.27%
Last Year Return
$9,812.49
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$8,367.24
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
4.9/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 4.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,844
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
254 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,367.24
Current Value
$9,812.49
Period P&L
$1,445.25
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
18 /
23
Best Trade
+8.15%
Worst Trade
-2.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$679,592.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,445.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,445.25
Gross Return
+17.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 254 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,367.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $114.11 | 73 | $8,330.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $112.00 | 73 | $8,176.00 | $8,213.21 |
$-154.03 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 11:30am ET | $112.89 | 72 | $8,127.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 1:05pm ET | $111.69 | 72 | $8,041.87 | $8,127.36 |
$-85.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $111.65 | 72 | $8,038.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $114.70 | 72 | $8,258.04 | $8,346.60 |
+$219.24 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:05am ET | $114.73 | 72 | $8,260.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $113.57 | 72 | $8,177.04 | $8,263.08 |
$-83.52 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $118.20 | 69 | $8,155.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 11:05am ET | $116.83 | 69 | $8,061.27 | $8,168.55 |
$-94.53 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 2:00pm ET | $118.02 | 69 | $8,143.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 2:30pm ET | $119.04 | 69 | $8,213.76 | $8,238.93 |
+$70.38 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 2:35pm ET | $119.09 | 69 | $8,217.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:00pm ET | $117.85 | 69 | $8,131.31 | $8,153.02 |
$-85.91 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $121.18 | 67 | $8,119.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:05am ET | $119.64 | 67 | $8,015.88 | $8,049.84 |
$-103.18 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $121.83 | 66 | $8,040.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 12:30pm ET | $123.40 | 66 | $8,144.40 | $8,153.46 |
+$103.62 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:55pm ET | $123.81 | 65 | $8,047.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $122.40 | 65 | $7,956.00 | $8,061.81 |
$-91.65 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $124.07 | 64 | $7,940.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $122.61 | 64 | $7,847.04 | $7,968.37 |
$-93.44 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 11:50am ET | $120.97 | 65 | $7,863.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 11:10am ET | $119.57 | 65 | $7,772.05 | $7,877.37 |
$-91.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 2:10pm ET | $120.01 | 65 | $7,800.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $118.74 | 65 | $7,717.78 | $7,794.49 |
$-82.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $123.61 | 63 | $7,787.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $120.48 | 63 | $7,590.24 | $7,597.30 |
$-197.19 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $120.33 | 63 | $7,580.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $123.58 | 63 | $7,785.23 | $7,802.05 |
+$204.75 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $124.03 | 62 | $7,689.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $127.59 | 62 | $7,910.58 | $8,022.77 |
+$220.72 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $126.45 | 63 | $7,966.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:55am ET | $125.04 | 63 | $7,877.52 | $7,933.94 |
$-88.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $127.19 | 62 | $7,885.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $126.92 | 62 | $7,869.04 | $7,917.20 |
$-16.74 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:25pm ET | $127.56 | 62 | $7,908.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:55pm ET | $127.98 | 62 | $7,934.76 | $7,943.24 |
+$26.04 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $125.06 | 63 | $7,878.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $123.81 | 63 | $7,799.72 | $7,864.18 |
$-79.06 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:50pm ET | $120.22 | 65 | $7,813.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:10am ET | $123.31 | 65 | $8,015.15 | $8,065.36 |
+$201.18 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:15am ET | $123.34 | 65 | $8,016.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $122.88 | 65 | $7,987.20 | $8,035.79 |
$-29.57 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $119.65 | 67 | $8,016.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $121.76 | 67 | $8,157.92 | $8,177.16 |
+$141.37 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:30pm ET | $121.97 | 67 | $8,171.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $125.08 | 67 | $8,380.03 | $8,385.53 |
+$208.37 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:30am ET | $125.15 | 67 | $8,385.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $123.90 | 67 | $8,300.97 | $8,301.44 |
$-84.09 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $121.51 | 68 | $8,262.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET | $122.99 | 68 | $8,363.32 | $8,402.08 |
+$100.64 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $121.62 | 69 | $8,391.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $120.59 | 69 | $8,320.71 | $8,331.01 |
$-71.07 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $121.75 | 68 | $8,279.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:45pm ET | $121.81 | 68 | $8,283.08 | $8,335.09 |
+$4.08 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $123.05 | 67 | $8,244.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $122.61 | 67 | $8,214.54 | $8,305.61 |
$-29.48 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $124.52 | 66 | $8,218.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $126.23 | 66 | $8,330.96 | $8,418.25 |
+$112.64 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $126.41 | 66 | $8,342.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $131.34 | 66 | $8,668.11 | $8,743.63 |
+$325.38 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $132.18 | 66 | $8,723.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:35pm ET | $130.85 | 66 | $8,636.10 | $8,656.18 |
$-87.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $135.32 | 63 | $8,525.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:00pm ET | $137.93 | 63 | $8,689.59 | $8,820.61 |
+$164.43 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $137.82 | 64 | $8,820.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $141.42 | 64 | $9,050.88 | $9,051.33 |
+$230.72 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $141.48 | 63 | $8,912.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $139.97 | 63 | $8,817.80 | $8,956.20 |
$-95.13 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $141.50 | 63 | $8,914.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $141.86 | 63 | $8,937.18 | $8,979.20 |
+$23.00 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $145.78 | 61 | $8,892.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $150.33 | 61 | $9,170.13 | $9,256.75 |
+$277.55 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $151.32 | 61 | $9,230.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $150.39 | 61 | $9,173.79 | $9,199.72 |
$-57.03 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $155.42 | 59 | $9,169.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $153.79 | 59 | $9,073.90 | $9,103.84 |
$-95.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $155.29 | 58 | $9,006.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $154.92 | 58 | $8,985.36 | $9,082.52 |
$-21.32 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $133.63 | 67 | $8,952.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.52 | 67 | $9,682.84 | $9,812.49 |
+$729.97 (+8.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,812.49
Net Profit/Loss:
$-187.51
Total Return:
-1.88%