GLD Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 45 trades in period
+14.78%
Last Year Return
$10,558.79
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,199.01
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
18.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 18.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,653
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,199.01
Current Value
$10,558.79
Period P&L
$1,359.78
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
30 /
15
Best Trade
+3.95%
Worst Trade
-5.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$864,349.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,359.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,359.78
Gross Return
+14.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,199.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 2:35pm ET | $345.55 | 26 | $8,984.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 3:05pm ET | $347.40 | 26 | $9,032.40 | $9,247.11 |
+$48.10 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 3:10pm ET | $347.56 | 26 | $9,036.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:40pm ET | $352.46 | 26 | $9,164.04 | $9,374.59 |
+$127.48 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $353.75 | 26 | $9,197.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:40am ET | $356.85 | 26 | $9,278.10 | $9,455.19 |
+$80.60 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 11:50am ET | $364.37 | 25 | $9,109.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $365.57 | 25 | $9,139.25 | $9,485.19 |
+$30.00 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 12:10pm ET | $373.23 | 25 | $9,330.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 10:20am ET | $368.90 | 25 | $9,222.38 | $9,376.94 |
$-108.25 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $369.53 | 25 | $9,238.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 11:50am ET | $377.50 | 25 | $9,437.50 | $9,576.19 |
+$199.25 (+2.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 12:05pm ET | $378.43 | 25 | $9,460.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 12:35pm ET | $381.00 | 25 | $9,525.00 | $9,640.44 |
+$64.25 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 12:40pm ET | $381.21 | 25 | $9,530.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $385.16 | 25 | $9,629.00 | $9,739.19 |
+$98.75 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 3:45pm ET | $387.57 | 25 | $9,689.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 10:15am ET | $389.78 | 25 | $9,744.50 | $9,794.44 |
+$55.25 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $399.24 | 24 | $9,581.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $384.14 | 24 | $9,219.24 | $9,431.92 |
$-362.52 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 3:20pm ET | $377.08 | 25 | $9,427.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $379.00 | 25 | $9,475.00 | $9,479.92 |
+$48.00 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 12:10pm ET | $380.29 | 24 | $9,126.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $368.93 | 24 | $8,854.32 | $9,207.28 |
$-272.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $363.67 | 25 | $9,091.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $368.51 | 25 | $9,212.75 | $9,328.28 |
+$121.00 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $368.79 | 25 | $9,219.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 10:35am ET | $369.42 | 25 | $9,235.47 | $9,344.12 |
+$15.84 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 11:20am ET | $365.64 | 25 | $9,141.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:00pm ET | $361.68 | 25 | $9,042.00 | $9,245.12 |
$-99.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:30am ET | $369.54 | 25 | $9,238.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $376.89 | 25 | $9,422.25 | $9,428.87 |
+$183.75 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 12:50pm ET | $377.15 | 25 | $9,428.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 1:20pm ET | $378.42 | 25 | $9,460.50 | $9,460.62 |
+$31.75 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $382.88 | 24 | $9,189.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:40am ET | $386.08 | 24 | $9,265.92 | $9,537.42 |
+$76.80 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:15am ET | $376.88 | 25 | $9,422.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:45am ET | $374.11 | 25 | $9,352.75 | $9,468.17 |
$-69.25 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET | $376.55 | 25 | $9,413.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $376.61 | 25 | $9,415.25 | $9,469.79 |
+$1.62 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $377.10 | 25 | $9,427.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 1:15pm ET | $381.28 | 25 | $9,532.00 | $9,574.29 |
+$104.50 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:40am ET | $383.38 | 24 | $9,201.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:10pm ET | $387.07 | 24 | $9,289.68 | $9,662.85 |
+$88.56 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $387.74 | 24 | $9,305.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET | $393.25 | 24 | $9,438.00 | $9,795.09 |
+$132.24 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET | $393.02 | 24 | $9,432.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:10pm ET | $395.47 | 24 | $9,491.28 | $9,853.89 |
+$58.80 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:10am ET | $401.07 | 24 | $9,625.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:40am ET | $399.66 | 24 | $9,591.84 | $9,820.05 |
$-33.84 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 12:05pm ET | $400.32 | 24 | $9,607.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 12:35pm ET | $408.04 | 24 | $9,792.84 | $10,005.21 |
+$185.16 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET | $411.73 | 24 | $9,881.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $412.06 | 24 | $9,889.39 | $10,013.08 |
+$7.87 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $418.13 | 23 | $9,616.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $399.16 | 23 | $9,180.68 | $9,576.77 |
$-436.31 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET | $410.74 | 23 | $9,447.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET | $409.96 | 23 | $9,429.08 | $9,558.83 |
$-17.94 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $410.10 | 23 | $9,432.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $413.49 | 23 | $9,510.18 | $9,636.83 |
+$78.00 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $425.36 | 22 | $9,357.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $423.63 | 22 | $9,319.89 | $9,598.79 |
$-38.04 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $438.08 | 21 | $9,199.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $445.18 | 21 | $9,348.78 | $9,747.89 |
+$149.10 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $447.01 | 21 | $9,387.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $456.37 | 21 | $9,583.77 | $9,944.45 |
+$196.56 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $457.23 | 21 | $9,601.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $468.83 | 21 | $9,845.43 | $10,188.05 |
+$243.60 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $468.82 | 21 | $9,845.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $486.57 | 21 | $10,217.97 | $10,560.80 |
+$372.75 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:15pm ET | $488.08 | 21 | $10,249.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $501.64 | 21 | $10,534.34 | $10,845.46 |
+$284.66 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $456.60 | 23 | $10,501.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $451.25 | 23 | $10,378.75 | $10,722.41 |
$-123.05 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $450.62 | 23 | $10,364.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $446.00 | 23 | $10,258.00 | $10,616.15 |
$-106.26 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $456.35 | 23 | $10,496.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $464.75 | 23 | $10,689.25 | $10,809.35 |
+$193.20 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $465.31 | 23 | $10,702.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $460.28 | 23 | $10,586.44 | $10,693.66 |
$-115.69 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $468.38 | 22 | $10,304.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $454.95 | 22 | $10,008.90 | $10,398.20 |
$-295.46 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $462.13 | 22 | $10,166.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $461.91 | 22 | $10,162.02 | $10,393.36 |
$-4.84 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.21 | 24 | $10,085.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $434.29 | 24 | $10,422.96 | $10,731.28 |
+$337.92 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.58 | 26 | $10,389.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.74 | 26 | $9,821.24 | $10,163.44 |
$-567.84 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.96 | 26 | $10,008.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.17 | 26 | $10,404.31 | $10,558.79 |
+$395.35 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,558.79
Net Profit/Loss:
+$558.79
Total Return:
+5.59%