GOOGL Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 38 trades in period
+25.54%
Last Year Return
$15,806.50
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$12,590.99
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
37.6/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 31.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,282
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,590.99
Current Value
$15,806.50
Period P&L
$3,215.51
Max Drawdown
-20.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
21 /
17
Best Trade
+16.70%
Worst Trade
-9.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.69%
Avg Hold Time
2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,052,506.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,215.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,215.51
Gross Return
+25.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,590.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:15am ET | $245.16 | 51 | $12,503.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $246.72 | 51 | $12,582.72 | $12,670.55 |
+$79.56 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 11:50am ET | $242.63 | 52 | $12,616.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 12:20pm ET | $243.88 | 52 | $12,681.76 | $12,735.55 |
+$65.00 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 12:40pm ET | $246.18 | 51 | $12,555.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:10pm ET | $248.95 | 51 | $12,696.45 | $12,876.82 |
+$141.27 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 2:10pm ET | $249.64 | 51 | $12,731.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $246.52 | 51 | $12,572.52 | $12,717.70 |
$-159.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 12:15pm ET | $242.76 | 52 | $12,623.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 12:45pm ET | $246.81 | 52 | $12,833.86 | $12,928.04 |
+$210.34 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 12:50pm ET | $246.86 | 52 | $12,836.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:40pm ET | $244.01 | 52 | $12,688.52 | $12,780.10 |
$-147.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $249.54 | 51 | $12,726.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 10:35am ET | $255.45 | 51 | $13,027.80 | $13,081.36 |
+$301.26 (+2.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $252.57 | 51 | $12,881.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 12:30pm ET | $256.46 | 51 | $13,079.46 | $13,279.75 |
+$198.39 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 10:05am ET | $260.87 | 50 | $13,043.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:35am ET | $265.00 | 50 | $13,250.00 | $13,486.25 |
+$206.50 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 1:15pm ET | $267.61 | 50 | $13,380.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 1:45pm ET | $268.00 | 50 | $13,400.00 | $13,505.75 |
+$19.50 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 11:35am ET | $270.99 | 49 | $13,278.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $289.22 | 49 | $14,171.54 | $14,398.77 |
+$893.02 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 11:50am ET | $283.46 | 50 | $14,173.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $279.99 | 50 | $13,999.50 | $14,225.27 |
$-173.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $284.81 | 49 | $13,955.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $283.22 | 49 | $13,877.94 | $14,147.76 |
$-77.51 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 2:20pm ET | $290.51 | 48 | $13,944.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 2:50pm ET | $290.69 | 48 | $13,952.88 | $14,155.95 |
+$8.19 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $277.41 | 51 | $14,147.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $290.82 | 51 | $14,831.82 | $14,840.12 |
+$684.17 (+4.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET | $303.00 | 48 | $14,544.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:50am ET | $299.04 | 48 | $14,353.68 | $14,649.80 |
$-190.32 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $306.36 | 47 | $14,398.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $302.98 | 47 | $14,240.22 | $14,491.10 |
$-158.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:05pm ET | $303.44 | 47 | $14,261.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $299.77 | 47 | $14,089.19 | $14,318.61 |
$-172.49 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET | $319.99 | 44 | $14,079.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $316.45 | 44 | $13,923.58 | $14,162.59 |
$-156.02 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:00pm ET | $315.26 | 44 | $13,871.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:30pm ET | $316.78 | 44 | $13,938.32 | $14,229.47 |
+$66.88 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:50pm ET | $319.68 | 44 | $14,065.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $314.62 | 44 | $13,843.28 | $14,006.83 |
$-222.64 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:15pm ET | $303.43 | 46 | $13,957.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:45pm ET | $304.16 | 46 | $13,991.36 | $14,040.41 |
+$33.58 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $305.69 | 45 | $13,756.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:20am ET | $312.76 | 45 | $14,074.20 | $14,358.56 |
+$318.15 (+2.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:00pm ET | $313.89 | 45 | $14,125.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET | $314.61 | 45 | $14,157.45 | $14,390.96 |
+$32.40 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $323.74 | 44 | $14,244.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $325.69 | 44 | $14,330.14 | $14,476.76 |
+$85.80 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $331.94 | 43 | $14,273.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $327.98 | 43 | $14,103.14 | $14,306.48 |
$-170.28 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:35pm ET | $336.35 | 42 | $14,126.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $332.81 | 42 | $13,978.02 | $14,157.80 |
$-148.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $325.77 | 43 | $14,008.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $322.50 | 43 | $13,867.50 | $14,017.19 |
$-140.61 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $326.59 | 42 | $13,716.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $330.46 | 42 | $13,879.11 | $14,179.52 |
+$162.33 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $332.08 | 42 | $13,947.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $336.89 | 42 | $14,149.38 | $14,381.54 |
+$202.02 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $343.20 | 41 | $14,071.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $343.27 | 41 | $14,073.87 | $14,384.21 |
+$2.67 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $327.40 | 43 | $14,078.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $322.66 | 43 | $13,874.38 | $14,180.28 |
$-203.93 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $324.75 | 43 | $13,964.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $317.99 | 43 | $13,673.38 | $13,889.41 |
$-290.87 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $314.04 | 44 | $13,817.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $310.11 | 44 | $13,644.84 | $13,716.49 |
$-172.92 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.42 | 42 | $13,457.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.92 | 42 | $15,704.64 | $15,963.28 |
+$2,246.79 (+16.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.64 | 44 | $15,648.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.29 | 44 | $14,136.76 | $14,451.72 |
$-1,511.56 (-9.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.80 | 44 | $14,423.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $377.33 | 44 | $16,602.52 | $16,630.82 |
+$2,179.10 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $356.73 | 46 | $16,409.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $338.81 | 46 | $15,585.26 | $15,806.50 |
$-824.32 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,806.50
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,806.50
Total Return:
+58.06%