GS Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 44 trades in period
+8.60%
Last Year Return
$12,251.65
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,281.33
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.1/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
26.0/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 25.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,864
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,281.33
Current Value
$12,251.65
Period P&L
$970.32
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
22 /
22
Best Trade
+11.19%
Worst Trade
-5.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,023,081.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$970.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$970.32
Gross Return
+8.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,281.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $795.00 | 14 | $11,130.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $802.87 | 14 | $11,240.11 | $11,391.44 |
+$110.11 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 11:20am ET | $789.22 | 14 | $11,049.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 11:50am ET | $798.13 | 14 | $11,173.82 | $11,516.21 |
+$124.77 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 11:15am ET | $788.88 | 14 | $11,044.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $752.28 | 14 | $10,531.94 | $11,003.83 |
$-512.38 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $769.13 | 14 | $10,767.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 12:05pm ET | $772.95 | 14 | $10,821.23 | $11,057.24 |
+$53.41 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 11:05am ET | $780.50 | 14 | $10,926.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:10pm ET | $771.56 | 14 | $10,801.84 | $10,932.11 |
$-125.13 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $763.28 | 14 | $10,685.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 11:15am ET | $762.54 | 14 | $10,675.56 | $10,921.82 |
$-10.29 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:45pm ET | $754.73 | 14 | $10,566.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $773.73 | 14 | $10,832.15 | $11,187.75 |
+$265.93 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $774.37 | 14 | $10,841.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:05am ET | $794.90 | 14 | $11,128.60 | $11,475.17 |
+$287.42 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 11:40am ET | $799.94 | 14 | $11,199.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 1:15pm ET | $791.65 | 14 | $11,083.10 | $11,359.11 |
$-116.06 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $802.00 | 14 | $11,228.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 2:10pm ET | $793.54 | 14 | $11,109.56 | $11,240.67 |
$-118.44 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:05am ET | $794.91 | 14 | $11,128.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $784.05 | 14 | $10,976.63 | $11,088.62 |
$-152.05 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:45am ET | $793.40 | 13 | $10,314.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $785.33 | 13 | $10,209.23 | $10,983.65 |
$-104.97 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET | $785.57 | 13 | $10,212.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $797.34 | 13 | $10,365.42 | $11,136.66 |
+$153.01 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:50am ET | $804.98 | 13 | $10,464.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $836.82 | 13 | $10,878.66 | $11,550.58 |
+$413.92 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 2:20pm ET | $799.73 | 14 | $11,196.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:40pm ET | $791.46 | 14 | $11,080.44 | $11,434.76 |
$-115.82 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $781.24 | 14 | $10,937.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:55am ET | $781.39 | 14 | $10,939.46 | $11,436.86 |
+$2.10 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET | $786.77 | 14 | $11,014.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $814.21 | 14 | $11,398.94 | $11,821.09 |
+$384.23 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $815.60 | 14 | $11,418.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $806.11 | 14 | $11,285.54 | $11,688.23 |
$-132.86 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $788.23 | 14 | $11,035.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $792.44 | 14 | $11,094.16 | $11,747.17 |
+$58.94 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET | $818.68 | 14 | $11,461.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:40am ET | $829.55 | 14 | $11,613.70 | $11,899.35 |
+$152.18 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:45am ET | $829.39 | 14 | $11,611.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $819.28 | 14 | $11,469.92 | $11,757.81 |
$-141.54 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 12:35pm ET | $818.97 | 14 | $11,465.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 1:05pm ET | $833.40 | 14 | $11,667.60 | $11,959.83 |
+$202.02 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:10pm ET | $833.63 | 14 | $11,670.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:40pm ET | $837.54 | 14 | $11,725.56 | $12,014.64 |
+$54.81 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $853.45 | 14 | $11,948.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $865.67 | 14 | $12,119.38 | $12,185.72 |
+$171.08 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $878.31 | 13 | $11,418.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $880.84 | 13 | $11,450.92 | $12,218.61 |
+$32.89 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:00pm ET | $883.41 | 13 | $11,484.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:55am ET | $907.43 | 13 | $11,796.59 | $12,530.81 |
+$312.20 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:25pm ET | $908.65 | 13 | $11,812.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $898.07 | 13 | $11,674.97 | $12,393.33 |
$-137.48 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $894.82 | 13 | $11,632.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $899.70 | 13 | $11,696.10 | $12,456.77 |
+$63.44 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:35am ET | $909.41 | 13 | $11,822.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET | $907.07 | 13 | $11,791.91 | $12,426.35 |
$-30.42 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $892.44 | 13 | $11,601.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $953.83 | 13 | $12,399.79 | $13,224.42 |
+$798.07 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $955.71 | 13 | $12,424.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $945.17 | 13 | $12,287.21 | $13,087.40 |
$-137.02 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $957.33 | 13 | $12,445.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $944.88 | 13 | $12,283.38 | $12,925.48 |
$-161.92 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET | $948.17 | 13 | $12,326.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $935.53 | 13 | $12,161.89 | $12,761.16 |
$-164.32 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $966.59 | 13 | $12,565.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $965.49 | 13 | $12,551.37 | $12,746.86 |
$-14.30 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $958.50 | 13 | $12,460.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $946.36 | 13 | $12,302.68 | $12,589.04 |
$-157.82 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $960.84 | 13 | $12,490.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $960.52 | 13 | $12,486.76 | $12,584.88 |
$-4.16 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $941.02 | 13 | $12,233.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $946.10 | 13 | $12,299.30 | $12,650.92 |
+$66.04 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $927.11 | 13 | $12,052.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $944.90 | 13 | $12,283.70 | $12,882.19 |
+$231.27 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $944.12 | 13 | $12,273.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $941.98 | 13 | $12,245.74 | $12,854.37 |
$-27.82 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $902.96 | 14 | $12,641.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $905.62 | 14 | $12,678.68 | $12,891.61 |
+$37.24 (+0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $905.24 | 14 | $12,673.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,006.53 | 14 | $14,091.42 | $14,309.67 |
+$1,418.06 (+11.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
48d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,091.77 | 13 | $14,193.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,034.09 | 13 | $13,443.17 | $13,559.83 |
$-749.84 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,048.90 | 12 | $12,586.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $992.83 | 12 | $11,913.96 | $12,886.99 |
$-672.84 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,049.94 | 12 | $12,599.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $997.00 | 12 | $11,964.00 | $12,251.65 |
$-635.34 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
41.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,251.65
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,251.65
Total Return:
+22.52%