LCID Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 50 trades in period
-13.39%
Last Year Return
$7,797.68
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$9,003.58
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,588
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,003.58
Current Value
$7,797.68
Period P&L
$-1,205.90
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
16 /
34
Best Trade
+16.46%
Worst Trade
-7.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
24h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$905,285.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,205.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,205.90
Gross Return
-13.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.39%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,003.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $23.04 | 390 | $8,983.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 1:20pm ET | $22.71 | 390 | $8,854.95 | $8,874.88 |
$-128.70 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 3:20pm ET | $24.66 | 359 | $8,852.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:05pm ET | $24.41 | 359 | $8,763.19 | $8,785.13 |
$-89.75 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 12:50pm ET | $22.34 | 393 | $8,777.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 2:35pm ET | $22.11 | 393 | $8,689.23 | $8,696.70 |
$-88.43 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $21.98 | 395 | $8,680.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $21.74 | 395 | $8,587.30 | $8,603.87 |
$-92.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:50am ET | $21.23 | 405 | $8,598.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 2:30pm ET | $21.83 | 405 | $8,841.15 | $8,846.91 |
+$243.04 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $21.79 | 406 | $8,846.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:40am ET | $21.55 | 406 | $8,750.52 | $8,750.69 |
$-96.22 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 10:50am ET | $20.08 | 435 | $8,734.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 12:05pm ET | $19.85 | 435 | $8,634.75 | $8,650.64 |
$-100.05 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 3:00pm ET | $18.94 | 456 | $8,636.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:35pm ET | $18.75 | 456 | $8,547.72 | $8,561.72 |
$-88.92 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:00pm ET | $18.29 | 468 | $8,557.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 2:05pm ET | $19.32 | 468 | $9,041.76 | $9,046.10 |
+$484.38 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:50am ET | $17.80 | 508 | $9,040.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $17.15 | 508 | $8,709.66 | $8,715.60 |
$-330.50 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 11:50am ET | $16.66 | 523 | $8,713.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 12:10pm ET | $16.49 | 523 | $8,624.27 | $8,626.69 |
$-88.91 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:30am ET | $17.03 | 506 | $8,614.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 12:35pm ET | $17.47 | 506 | $8,837.29 | $8,849.33 |
+$222.64 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:05am ET | $17.96 | 492 | $8,836.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:15am ET | $17.74 | 492 | $8,728.08 | $8,741.09 |
$-108.24 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 1:10pm ET | $12.86 | 679 | $8,728.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:15pm ET | $13.18 | 679 | $8,949.22 | $8,961.43 |
+$220.34 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $12.02 | 745 | $8,952.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:10pm ET | $12.33 | 745 | $9,182.13 | $9,191.49 |
+$230.06 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:50pm ET | $12.57 | 731 | $9,185.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $12.42 | 731 | $9,079.09 | $9,085.57 |
$-105.92 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET | $12.80 | 709 | $9,075.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:35pm ET | $13.20 | 709 | $9,355.26 | $9,365.63 |
+$280.06 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:30pm ET | $13.26 | 706 | $9,361.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:20am ET | $13.60 | 706 | $9,598.07 | $9,602.00 |
+$236.37 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $13.67 | 702 | $9,593.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:30pm ET | $13.53 | 702 | $9,494.55 | $9,502.74 |
$-99.26 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $13.12 | 724 | $9,495.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:20am ET | $12.97 | 724 | $9,390.28 | $9,397.76 |
$-104.98 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:15pm ET | $13.36 | 703 | $9,392.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $13.71 | 703 | $9,638.13 | $9,643.74 |
+$245.98 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 3:30pm ET | $14.04 | 686 | $9,631.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:50am ET | $13.89 | 686 | $9,528.54 | $9,540.84 |
$-102.90 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $12.54 | 761 | $9,539.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:10pm ET | $12.86 | 761 | $9,782.66 | $9,784.36 |
+$243.52 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:15pm ET | $12.88 | 759 | $9,775.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 1:05pm ET | $13.23 | 759 | $10,040.51 | $10,049.02 |
+$264.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $12.98 | 774 | $10,046.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:10pm ET | $12.85 | 774 | $9,945.90 | $9,948.40 |
$-100.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 11:05am ET | $11.61 | 856 | $9,940.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:05pm ET | $11.91 | 856 | $10,198.73 | $10,206.66 |
+$258.26 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $11.10 | 919 | $10,196.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $11.47 | 919 | $10,540.93 | $10,551.29 |
+$344.63 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $11.56 | 912 | $10,542.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $11.43 | 912 | $10,424.16 | $10,432.73 |
$-118.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $11.27 | 925 | $10,427.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $11.07 | 925 | $10,235.87 | $10,241.53 |
$-191.20 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $11.41 | 897 | $10,234.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.26 | 897 | $10,100.22 | $10,106.98 |
$-134.55 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $9.80 | 1,031 | $10,103.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $9.67 | 1,031 | $9,969.67 | $9,972.95 |
$-134.03 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $11.42 | 873 | $9,969.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $11.26 | 873 | $9,832.95 | $9,836.24 |
$-136.71 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $11.90 | 826 | $9,825.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $11.77 | 826 | $9,717.89 | $9,728.86 |
$-107.38 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $10.88 | 894 | $9,726.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.74 | 894 | $9,597.09 | $9,599.23 |
$-129.63 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $11.26 | 852 | $9,593.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $11.14 | 852 | $9,491.28 | $9,496.99 |
$-102.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $10.04 | 945 | $9,487.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $10.30 | 945 | $9,733.50 | $9,742.69 |
+$245.70 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $10.98 | 887 | $9,739.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $11.27 | 887 | $9,992.06 | $9,995.49 |
+$252.80 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $11.25 | 888 | $9,990.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $11.12 | 888 | $9,874.56 | $9,880.05 |
$-115.44 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $10.21 | 968 | $9,879.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $10.08 | 968 | $9,757.44 | $9,758.37 |
$-121.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.63 | 918 | $9,753.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $10.06 | 918 | $9,235.08 | $9,239.70 |
$-518.67 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.24 | 1,000 | $9,237.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.77 | 1,000 | $8,770.00 | $8,772.00 |
$-467.70 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.72 | 902 | $8,762.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $9.17 | 902 | $8,271.34 | $8,280.41 |
$-491.59 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 1,144 | $8,276.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 1,144 | $7,618.70 | $7,622.27 |
$-658.14 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.09 | 1,251 | $7,618.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $5.78 | 1,251 | $7,230.78 | $7,234.46 |
$-387.81 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.45 | 1,327 | $7,232.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.14 | 1,327 | $6,814.15 | $6,816.46 |
$-418.00 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.14 | 1,111 | $6,815.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $5.82 | 1,111 | $6,471.57 | $6,472.05 |
$-344.41 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.01 | 1,291 | $6,467.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $5.78 | 1,291 | $7,455.53 | $7,459.66 |
+$987.61 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.78 | 1,100 | $7,457.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $6.43 | 1,100 | $7,078.50 | $7,080.27 |
$-379.39 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $6.88 | 1,029 | $7,077.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $8.01 | 1,029 | $8,242.29 | $8,245.41 |
+$1,165.14 (+16.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.05 | 1,169 | $8,239.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.66 | 1,169 | $7,791.38 | $7,797.68 |
$-447.73 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,797.68
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,202.32
Total Return:
-22.02%