LINKUSD Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 52 trades in period
-22.12%
Last Year Return
$10,112.76
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$12,918.31
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
2.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
7.3/100
× Confidence 0.72
= 5.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,165
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,918.31
Current Value
$10,112.76
Period P&L
$-2,857.50
Max Drawdown
-35.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
16 /
36
Best Trade
+3.90%
Worst Trade
-7.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
13.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,182,224.46
Estimated Fees
$2,955.56
Gross P&L
$-2,857.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,813.06
Gross Return
-22.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-45.00%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,918.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $21.90 | 596 | $13,050.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $20.98 | 596 | $12,504.08 | $12,523.16 |
$-546.53 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:15am ET | $21.14 | 592 | $12,516.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 11:05am ET | $20.92 | 592 | $12,385.82 | $12,392.33 |
$-130.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 12:15pm ET | $20.79 | 596 | $12,392.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $21.47 | 596 | $12,797.12 | $12,797.41 |
+$405.08 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 10:10am ET | $21.55 | 593 | $12,776.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 12:55pm ET | $21.32 | 593 | $12,642.17 | $12,663.39 |
$-134.02 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $22.39 | 565 | $12,651.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:50am ET | $22.13 | 565 | $12,501.19 | $12,513.10 |
$-150.29 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 12:10pm ET | $22.58 | 554 | $12,508.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $22.25 | 554 | $12,327.41 | $12,331.75 |
$-181.35 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 11:20am ET | $22.53 | 547 | $12,324.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET | $22.26 | 547 | $12,176.77 | $12,184.06 |
$-147.69 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:15am ET | $22.72 | 536 | $12,178.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:25pm ET | $23.30 | 536 | $12,489.87 | $12,495.48 |
+$311.42 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 10:00am ET | $22.29 | 560 | $12,484.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $22.05 | 560 | $12,346.88 | $12,357.72 |
$-137.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 2:25pm ET | $19.89 | 621 | $12,348.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $18.46 | 621 | $11,461.18 | $11,470.31 |
$-887.41 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:10am ET | $18.60 | 616 | $11,454.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 12:10pm ET | $19.09 | 616 | $11,757.59 | $11,773.38 |
+$303.07 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $16.80 | 700 | $11,760.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 12:30pm ET | $16.55 | 700 | $11,585.00 | $11,598.38 |
$-175.00 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 10:10am ET | $18.23 | 636 | $11,593.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:55am ET | $18.74 | 636 | $11,918.00 | $11,923.38 |
+$325.00 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 11:05am ET | $17.44 | 683 | $11,914.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 11:35am ET | $17.60 | 683 | $12,019.43 | $12,028.56 |
+$105.18 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 12:05pm ET | $18.54 | 648 | $12,016.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 10:40am ET | $18.36 | 648 | $11,894.04 | $11,905.78 |
$-122.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 1:45pm ET | $18.39 | 647 | $11,900.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $17.61 | 647 | $11,393.02 | $11,398.53 |
$-507.25 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:50am ET | $17.33 | 657 | $11,388.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 12:15pm ET | $17.14 | 657 | $11,259.67 | $11,269.76 |
$-128.77 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $15.07 | 747 | $11,255.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $14.60 | 747 | $10,906.20 | $10,920.91 |
$-348.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $14.94 | 730 | $10,908.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 11:30am ET | $15.40 | 730 | $11,239.08 | $11,251.60 |
+$330.69 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:55am ET | $14.46 | 778 | $11,249.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 12:30pm ET | $14.30 | 778 | $11,125.40 | $11,127.90 |
$-123.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:20am ET | $13.69 | 812 | $11,116.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $13.40 | 812 | $10,880.80 | $10,892.42 |
$-235.48 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET | $13.47 | 808 | $10,885.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $13.24 | 808 | $10,701.15 | $10,708.20 |
$-184.22 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:00am ET | $12.70 | 843 | $10,701.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $13.04 | 843 | $10,995.25 | $11,001.56 |
+$293.36 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:25am ET | $12.92 | 851 | $10,993.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 2:20pm ET | $12.78 | 851 | $10,878.33 | $10,886.67 |
$-114.89 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:35am ET | $13.06 | 833 | $10,878.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:10pm ET | $13.40 | 833 | $11,158.87 | $11,166.56 |
+$279.89 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $12.83 | 870 | $11,162.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $13.31 | 870 | $11,575.35 | $11,579.81 |
+$413.25 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET | $14.58 | 794 | $11,576.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:45am ET | $14.43 | 794 | $11,456.63 | $11,459.92 |
$-119.89 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $14.09 | 813 | $11,451.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:00am ET | $13.91 | 813 | $11,304.77 | $11,312.77 |
$-147.15 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $13.88 | 814 | $11,301.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET | $14.39 | 814 | $11,710.20 | $11,721.40 |
+$408.63 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $13.71 | 855 | $11,717.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:35am ET | $13.51 | 855 | $11,551.91 | $11,555.53 |
$-165.87 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:50am ET | $13.05 | 885 | $11,544.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 11:35am ET | $12.90 | 885 | $11,415.62 | $11,426.32 |
$-129.21 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 11:30am ET | $12.65 | 902 | $11,413.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:30pm ET | $12.46 | 902 | $11,241.63 | $11,254.04 |
$-172.28 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $12.87 | 874 | $11,251.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $12.74 | 874 | $11,136.51 | $11,138.67 |
$-115.37 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:00am ET | $12.36 | 901 | $11,133.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $12.09 | 901 | $10,891.29 | $10,896.30 |
$-242.37 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 2:45pm ET | $12.24 | 890 | $10,893.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $12.09 | 890 | $10,759.21 | $10,762.24 |
$-134.06 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $13.18 | 816 | $10,753.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $13.58 | 816 | $11,082.10 | $11,091.09 |
+$328.85 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $13.72 | 808 | $11,083.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $13.56 | 808 | $10,952.44 | $10,960.19 |
$-130.90 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $13.28 | 825 | $10,959.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $13.12 | 825 | $10,827.30 | $10,828.19 |
$-132.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $13.25 | 817 | $10,821.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $13.09 | 817 | $10,692.90 | $10,699.92 |
$-128.27 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $13.20 | 810 | $10,689.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $13.51 | 810 | $10,941.48 | $10,951.83 |
+$251.91 (+2.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $13.56 | 807 | $10,944.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $14.09 | 807 | $11,371.44 | $11,378.73 |
+$426.90 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $14.25 | 798 | $11,374.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $14.11 | 798 | $11,257.39 | $11,261.42 |
$-117.31 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $12.52 | 899 | $11,256.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $12.37 | 899 | $11,119.73 | $11,124.77 |
$-136.65 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $12.26 | 907 | $11,119.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $12.12 | 907 | $10,995.70 | $11,000.65 |
$-124.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $12.09 | 909 | $10,988.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $11.96 | 909 | $10,868.91 | $10,880.66 |
$-119.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.87 | 1,001 | $10,876.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $10.73 | 1,001 | $10,741.73 | $10,745.52 |
$-135.14 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $9.95 | 1,079 | $10,739.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $9.85 | 1,079 | $10,628.15 | $10,634.38 |
$-111.14 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $9.78 | 1,087 | $10,630.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $9.26 | 1,087 | $10,069.97 | $10,073.49 |
$-560.89 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $8.65 | 1,164 | $10,068.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $8.87 | 1,164 | $10,324.68 | $10,329.57 |
+$256.08 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $8.72 | 1,185 | $10,329.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $8.94 | 1,185 | $10,591.72 | $10,592.05 |
+$262.48 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $8.67 | 1,221 | $10,591.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 15, 2026 9:35pm ET | $8.74 | 1,221 | $10,667.96 | $10,668.85 |
+$76.80 (+0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET | $8.91 | 1,197 | $10,668.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2026 7:10pm ET | $8.45 | 1,197 | $10,112.76 | $10,112.76 |
$-608.04 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,112.76
Net Profit/Loss:
+$112.76
Total Return:
+1.13%