Compendium › Surge › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 23 trades in period

+16.56%
Last Year Return
$12,683.17
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$10,881.24
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 27.5/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 22.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,534
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
256 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,881.24
Current Value
$12,683.17
Period P&L
$1,801.93
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
12 / 11
Best Trade
+11.24%
Worst Trade
-5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$517,211.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,801.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,801.93
Gross Return
+16.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 256 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,881.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 10:45am ET $95.74 113 $10,818.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET $93.97 113 $10,618.61 $10,681.23 $-200.01
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:35am ET $94.76 112 $10,613.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET $93.74 112 $10,498.32 $10,566.43 $-114.80
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:35am ET $97.80 108 $10,562.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 11:05am ET $98.53 108 $10,640.70 $10,644.73 +$78.30
(+0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:00am ET $96.53 110 $10,618.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 11:10am ET $95.55 110 $10,510.50 $10,536.93 $-107.80
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:25am ET $92.02 114 $10,490.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:55am ET $92.04 114 $10,492.56 $10,539.21 +$2.28
(+0.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $92.78 113 $10,483.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:35am ET $95.10 113 $10,746.30 $10,801.93 +$262.72
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $95.40 113 $10,779.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:25am ET $96.16 113 $10,866.08 $10,888.38 +$86.45
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $100.57 108 $10,861.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:55am ET $102.55 108 $11,075.40 $11,102.22 +$213.84
(+2.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:00am ET $102.68 108 $11,089.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET $104.55 108 $11,291.40 $11,304.19 +$201.97
(+1.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 2:05pm ET $99.11 114 $11,298.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET $97.26 114 $11,087.07 $11,092.72 $-211.47
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $96.40 115 $11,086.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $97.35 115 $11,195.25 $11,201.97 +$109.25
(+1.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $97.39 115 $11,199.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:10am ET $100.01 115 $11,501.15 $11,503.85 +$301.88
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $100.48 114 $11,454.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:35pm ET $99.43 114 $11,335.02 $11,384.15 $-119.70
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $97.01 117 $11,350.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $98.79 117 $11,558.43 $11,592.41 +$208.26
(+1.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $99.07 117 $11,591.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET $97.82 117 $11,444.94 $11,446.16 $-146.25
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $97.08 117 $11,358.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $100.00 117 $11,699.42 $11,787.22 +$341.06
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $101.52 116 $11,776.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET $100.49 116 $11,656.84 $11,667.74 $-119.48
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:40am ET $101.86 114 $11,611.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $100.74 114 $11,484.36 $11,540.63 $-127.11
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET $104.31 110 $11,474.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $103.13 110 $11,344.71 $11,411.24 $-129.39
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET $102.56 111 $11,383.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $101.33 111 $11,247.63 $11,275.27 $-135.97
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $77.51 145 $11,238.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $83.13 145 $12,053.13 $12,089.44 +$814.17
(+7.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $77.51 145 $11,238.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $86.22 145 $12,501.90 $13,352.39 +$1,262.95
(+11.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
57d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $93.85 142 $13,326.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $89.14 142 $12,657.17 $12,683.17 $-669.22
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,683.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,683.17
Total Return: +26.83%
Back to Surge