META Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 37 trades in period
+0.19%
Last Year Return
$13,615.86
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$13,589.81
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
34.1/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 33.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,936
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,589.81
Current Value
$13,615.86
Period P&L
$26.05
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
14 /
23
Best Trade
+15.03%
Worst Trade
-12.45%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$977,246.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$26.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$26.05
Gross Return
+0.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.19%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,589.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 11:50am ET | $707.62 | 19 | $13,444.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $709.58 | 19 | $13,482.02 | $13,627.15 |
+$37.34 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 11:20am ET | $717.64 | 18 | $12,917.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 11:50am ET | $726.96 | 18 | $13,085.35 | $13,795.07 |
+$167.92 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 11:55am ET | $725.78 | 19 | $13,789.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $717.31 | 19 | $13,628.89 | $13,634.14 |
$-160.93 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:20am ET | $710.64 | 19 | $13,502.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:50am ET | $723.27 | 19 | $13,742.13 | $13,874.11 |
+$239.97 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:55am ET | $723.21 | 19 | $13,740.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:35am ET | $715.96 | 19 | $13,603.15 | $13,736.36 |
$-137.75 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 3:25pm ET | $717.17 | 19 | $13,626.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $732.39 | 19 | $13,915.41 | $14,025.64 |
+$289.28 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 12:05pm ET | $675.66 | 20 | $13,513.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 2:10pm ET | $668.10 | 20 | $13,361.99 | $13,874.43 |
$-151.21 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:20am ET | $635.90 | 21 | $13,353.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $622.80 | 21 | $13,078.80 | $13,599.43 |
$-275.00 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET | $619.47 | 21 | $13,008.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:25pm ET | $632.63 | 21 | $13,285.27 | $13,875.94 |
+$276.51 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 3:50pm ET | $634.57 | 21 | $13,325.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $625.23 | 21 | $13,129.83 | $13,679.80 |
$-196.14 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $609.12 | 22 | $13,400.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $607.53 | 22 | $13,365.55 | $13,644.82 |
$-34.98 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:10pm ET | $600.12 | 22 | $13,202.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $593.90 | 22 | $13,065.80 | $13,507.98 |
$-136.84 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:30am ET | $612.60 | 22 | $13,477.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET | $628.01 | 22 | $13,816.22 | $13,847.00 |
+$339.02 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:45pm ET | $631.50 | 21 | $13,261.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 2:15pm ET | $634.41 | 21 | $13,322.61 | $13,908.11 |
+$61.11 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:15am ET | $645.11 | 21 | $13,547.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:40pm ET | $641.39 | 21 | $13,469.19 | $13,830.09 |
$-78.02 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:15pm ET | $646.04 | 21 | $13,566.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 1:45pm ET | $644.50 | 21 | $13,534.50 | $13,797.75 |
$-32.34 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:15am ET | $672.11 | 20 | $13,442.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:45am ET | $669.18 | 20 | $13,383.60 | $13,739.15 |
$-58.60 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $653.64 | 21 | $13,726.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:05am ET | $646.79 | 21 | $13,582.59 | $13,595.40 |
$-143.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 12:40pm ET | $651.69 | 20 | $13,033.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 1:10pm ET | $650.95 | 20 | $13,018.90 | $13,580.50 |
$-14.90 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 2:30pm ET | $655.91 | 20 | $13,118.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:00pm ET | $652.78 | 20 | $13,055.69 | $13,517.99 |
$-62.51 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $666.34 | 20 | $13,326.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $663.73 | 20 | $13,274.60 | $13,465.79 |
$-52.20 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $664.14 | 20 | $13,282.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $656.42 | 20 | $13,128.33 | $13,311.42 |
$-154.37 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $664.17 | 20 | $13,283.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $648.63 | 20 | $12,972.50 | $13,000.52 |
$-310.90 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $653.25 | 19 | $12,411.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $645.81 | 19 | $12,270.39 | $12,859.16 |
$-141.36 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $622.42 | 20 | $12,448.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $623.96 | 20 | $12,479.20 | $12,889.96 |
+$30.80 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $609.99 | 21 | $12,809.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $633.18 | 21 | $13,296.78 | $13,376.95 |
+$486.99 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $639.51 | 20 | $12,790.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $658.20 | 20 | $13,164.00 | $13,750.75 |
+$373.80 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $659.89 | 20 | $13,197.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $669.41 | 20 | $13,388.10 | $13,941.05 |
+$190.30 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $672.70 | 20 | $13,453.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $669.74 | 20 | $13,394.70 | $13,881.85 |
$-59.20 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $675.09 | 20 | $13,501.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $650.39 | 20 | $13,007.80 | $13,387.85 |
$-494.00 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $673.59 | 19 | $12,798.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $674.21 | 19 | $12,809.99 | $13,399.63 |
+$11.78 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $648.77 | 20 | $12,975.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $641.26 | 20 | $12,825.10 | $13,249.33 |
$-150.30 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $630.18 | 21 | $13,233.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $597.58 | 21 | $12,549.11 | $12,564.66 |
$-684.67 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $551.01 | 22 | $12,122.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $633.85 | 22 | $13,944.70 | $14,387.12 |
+$1,822.46 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $581.76 | 24 | $13,962.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $544.57 | 24 | $13,069.70 | $13,494.58 |
$-892.54 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $601.16 | 22 | $13,225.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.29 | 22 | $11,578.49 | $11,847.66 |
$-1,646.92 (-12.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $589.35 | 20 | $11,787.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $677.77 | 20 | $13,555.30 | $13,615.86 |
+$1,768.20 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,615.86
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,615.86
Total Return:
+36.16%