MRK Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 38 trades in period
+7.70%
Last Year Return
$8,009.93
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$7,437.04
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
7.0/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 5.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,661
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,437.04
Current Value
$8,009.93
Period P&L
$572.89
Max Drawdown
-38.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
20 /
18
Best Trade
+7.65%
Worst Trade
-5.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$598,310.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$572.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$572.89
Gross Return
+7.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.70%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,437.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $80.63 | 92 | $7,417.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 1:20pm ET | $82.83 | 92 | $7,620.36 | $7,639.90 |
+$202.86 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $87.51 | 87 | $7,613.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 1:40pm ET | $89.98 | 87 | $7,827.83 | $7,854.35 |
+$214.45 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $90.20 | 87 | $7,846.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $89.18 | 87 | $7,758.23 | $7,765.60 |
$-88.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $84.51 | 91 | $7,690.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:10am ET | $86.76 | 91 | $7,895.05 | $7,970.24 |
+$204.64 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:15am ET | $86.87 | 91 | $7,904.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:45am ET | $87.01 | 91 | $7,918.31 | $7,983.84 |
+$13.60 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $87.58 | 91 | $7,969.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:20am ET | $87.51 | 91 | $7,963.36 | $7,977.88 |
$-5.96 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $85.61 | 93 | $7,961.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 11:05am ET | $84.65 | 93 | $7,872.45 | $7,888.60 |
$-89.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 2:55pm ET | $86.15 | 91 | $7,839.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $84.30 | 91 | $7,671.34 | $7,720.74 |
$-167.86 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $84.60 | 91 | $7,698.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 12:50pm ET | $83.62 | 91 | $7,608.97 | $7,631.10 |
$-89.64 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 3:20pm ET | $86.12 | 88 | $7,578.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET | $86.15 | 88 | $7,581.20 | $7,634.18 |
+$3.08 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $89.18 | 85 | $7,579.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $92.17 | 85 | $7,834.03 | $7,888.33 |
+$254.15 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:40am ET | $94.03 | 83 | $7,804.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:40pm ET | $93.03 | 83 | $7,721.49 | $7,805.26 |
$-83.07 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:05am ET | $93.81 | 83 | $7,785.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $93.84 | 83 | $7,788.72 | $7,808.16 |
+$2.90 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:35am ET | $94.36 | 82 | $7,737.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:40pm ET | $93.37 | 82 | $7,656.34 | $7,727.39 |
$-80.77 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $97.15 | 79 | $7,674.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $95.78 | 79 | $7,566.62 | $7,619.55 |
$-107.84 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:45am ET | $97.27 | 78 | $7,587.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 12:35pm ET | $99.78 | 78 | $7,782.84 | $7,815.33 |
+$195.78 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET | $104.28 | 74 | $7,716.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:05am ET | $105.22 | 74 | $7,786.28 | $7,885.26 |
+$69.93 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:40am ET | $105.54 | 74 | $7,809.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $104.22 | 74 | $7,712.28 | $7,787.58 |
$-97.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET | $99.01 | 78 | $7,722.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:00pm ET | $99.69 | 78 | $7,775.43 | $7,840.23 |
+$52.65 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $99.25 | 78 | $7,741.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:50am ET | $99.83 | 78 | $7,786.74 | $7,885.48 |
+$45.25 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 3:25pm ET | $101.25 | 77 | $7,796.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $101.09 | 77 | $7,783.93 | $7,873.17 |
$-12.31 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 11:10am ET | $103.24 | 76 | $7,846.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:40am ET | $104.70 | 76 | $7,957.20 | $7,984.13 |
+$110.96 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $106.81 | 74 | $7,903.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:10am ET | $107.42 | 74 | $7,949.07 | $8,029.26 |
+$45.13 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $105.95 | 75 | $7,945.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $106.82 | 75 | $8,011.50 | $8,094.89 |
+$65.63 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $109.47 | 73 | $7,991.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $110.07 | 73 | $8,035.29 | $8,138.87 |
+$43.98 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $111.43 | 73 | $8,134.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $109.90 | 73 | $8,022.70 | $8,027.55 |
$-111.32 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $109.03 | 73 | $7,959.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $111.26 | 73 | $8,121.98 | $8,190.34 |
+$162.79 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $111.78 | 73 | $8,159.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $109.89 | 73 | $8,021.97 | $8,052.37 |
$-137.97 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $109.14 | 73 | $7,967.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $108.29 | 73 | $7,904.81 | $7,989.95 |
$-62.42 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $109.90 | 72 | $7,912.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $112.65 | 72 | $8,110.80 | $8,187.95 |
+$198.00 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $112.65 | 72 | $8,110.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $116.49 | 72 | $8,387.28 | $8,464.43 |
+$276.48 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $120.11 | 70 | $8,407.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $118.89 | 70 | $8,321.95 | $8,378.68 |
$-85.75 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $122.38 | 68 | $8,321.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $118.82 | 68 | $8,079.76 | $8,136.94 |
$-241.74 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $118.08 | 68 | $8,029.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $121.19 | 68 | $8,240.92 | $8,348.42 |
+$211.48 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $121.11 | 68 | $8,235.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:45pm ET | $119.76 | 68 | $8,143.68 | $8,256.62 |
$-91.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.86 | 68 | $8,218.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $114.80 | 68 | $7,806.40 | $7,844.54 |
$-412.08 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.45 | 66 | $7,817.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $112.35 | 66 | $7,414.77 | $7,441.61 |
$-402.93 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.96 | 63 | $7,431.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.98 | 63 | $7,999.74 | $8,009.93 |
+$568.32 (+7.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,009.93
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,990.07
Total Return:
-19.90%