PLTR Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 44 trades in period
+25.13%
Last Year Return
$21,134.38
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$16,889.81
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
52
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
27.0/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
54.2/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 51.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,792
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$16,889.81
Current Value
$21,134.38
Period P&L
$4,244.57
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
17 /
27
Best Trade
+18.78%
Worst Trade
-5.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,568,655.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,244.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,244.57
Gross Return
+25.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $16,889.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $178.72 | 94 | $16,799.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:55am ET | $183.74 | 94 | $17,271.55 | $17,361.71 |
+$471.90 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $182.09 | 95 | $17,298.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET | $184.77 | 95 | $17,553.15 | $17,616.31 |
+$254.60 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 2:45pm ET | $185.08 | 95 | $17,582.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $182.82 | 95 | $17,367.90 | $17,401.61 |
$-214.70 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:20am ET | $177.65 | 97 | $17,232.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 2:45pm ET | $182.14 | 97 | $17,667.58 | $17,837.14 |
+$435.53 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:10am ET | $180.44 | 98 | $17,683.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $178.53 | 98 | $17,495.75 | $17,649.77 |
$-187.37 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:10am ET | $181.89 | 97 | $17,643.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $179.35 | 97 | $17,396.60 | $17,402.85 |
$-246.92 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 10:20am ET | $178.86 | 97 | $17,349.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $185.06 | 97 | $17,950.34 | $18,003.92 |
+$601.07 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:30pm ET | $191.58 | 93 | $17,816.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:20pm ET | $189.62 | 93 | $17,634.65 | $17,821.63 |
$-182.29 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 10:15am ET | $197.47 | 90 | $17,772.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 12:00pm ET | $195.44 | 90 | $17,589.60 | $17,638.93 |
$-182.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:25am ET | $203.34 | 86 | $17,487.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 11:30am ET | $201.26 | 86 | $17,308.36 | $17,460.05 |
$-178.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $195.35 | 89 | $17,386.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:45am ET | $192.84 | 89 | $17,162.76 | $17,236.65 |
$-223.40 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET | $176.54 | 97 | $17,124.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $190.83 | 97 | $18,510.22 | $18,622.44 |
+$1,385.79 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:10am ET | $191.56 | 97 | $18,581.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:10am ET | $189.12 | 97 | $18,344.64 | $18,385.74 |
$-236.70 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $173.93 | 105 | $18,262.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $171.39 | 105 | $17,995.43 | $18,118.51 |
$-267.23 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:50pm ET | $171.87 | 105 | $18,046.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 1:55pm ET | $169.39 | 105 | $17,785.95 | $17,858.11 |
$-260.40 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $162.06 | 110 | $17,826.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $158.11 | 110 | $17,391.74 | $17,423.25 |
$-434.86 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET | $161.11 | 108 | $17,399.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $165.27 | 108 | $17,849.16 | $17,872.53 |
+$449.28 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $167.84 | 106 | $17,790.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:25pm ET | $166.15 | 106 | $17,611.89 | $17,693.91 |
$-178.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 11:45am ET | $168.53 | 104 | $17,526.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $175.22 | 104 | $18,222.36 | $18,389.30 |
+$695.39 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $172.82 | 106 | $18,318.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $176.49 | 106 | $18,707.94 | $18,778.27 |
+$388.97 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $180.01 | 104 | $18,721.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $182.58 | 104 | $18,988.32 | $19,045.55 |
+$267.28 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:50pm ET | $187.64 | 101 | $18,951.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $181.96 | 101 | $18,377.47 | $18,471.38 |
$-574.17 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:20pm ET | $186.11 | 99 | $18,424.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $182.74 | 99 | $18,091.26 | $18,137.75 |
$-333.63 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $186.70 | 97 | $18,109.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $184.01 | 97 | $17,848.79 | $17,876.64 |
$-261.11 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $186.36 | 95 | $17,704.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $191.39 | 95 | $18,182.43 | $18,354.96 |
+$478.32 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:05pm ET | $192.77 | 95 | $18,313.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:35pm ET | $193.30 | 95 | $18,363.50 | $18,405.31 |
+$50.35 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $179.06 | 102 | $18,264.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $177.17 | 102 | $18,071.34 | $18,212.52 |
$-192.79 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $182.69 | 99 | $18,086.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $180.49 | 99 | $17,868.51 | $17,994.72 |
$-217.80 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $178.30 | 100 | $17,830.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $179.92 | 100 | $17,991.50 | $18,156.22 |
+$161.50 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $179.77 | 100 | $17,977.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:40pm ET | $177.95 | 100 | $17,794.50 | $17,973.72 |
$-182.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $170.43 | 105 | $17,894.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $168.44 | 105 | $17,685.68 | $17,764.77 |
$-208.95 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $169.37 | 104 | $17,614.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $169.64 | 104 | $17,642.48 | $17,792.87 |
+$28.10 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $168.99 | 105 | $17,743.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $167.20 | 105 | $17,555.48 | $17,604.39 |
$-188.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $136.46 | 129 | $17,602.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $135.04 | 129 | $17,420.16 | $17,421.85 |
$-182.54 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $141.47 | 123 | $17,400.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $145.05 | 123 | $17,841.15 | $17,862.66 |
+$440.81 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $132.13 | 135 | $17,837.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $130.72 | 135 | $17,647.20 | $17,672.31 |
$-190.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.76 | 114 | $17,643.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $146.73 | 114 | $16,727.22 | $16,756.32 |
$-915.99 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.95 | 116 | $16,698.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $136.73 | 116 | $15,860.10 | $15,918.22 |
$-838.10 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.30 | 107 | $15,868.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $140.77 | 107 | $15,062.37 | $15,112.49 |
$-805.73 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.83 | 129 | $15,071.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $134.63 | 129 | $17,367.27 | $17,408.69 |
+$2,296.20 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.79 | 132 | $17,396.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.07 | 132 | $16,377.24 | $16,389.65 |
$-1,019.04 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.78 | 129 | $16,354.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.60 | 129 | $19,426.76 | $19,461.79 |
+$3,072.14 (+18.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.46 | 121 | $19,415.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $184.91 | 121 | $22,374.71 | $22,420.84 |
+$2,959.05 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.41 | 126 | $22,353.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.20 | 126 | $21,067.20 | $21,134.38 |
$-1,286.46 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$21,134.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$11,134.38
Total Return:
+111.34%