Compendium › Surge › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 31 trades in period

+5.49%
Last Year Return
$10,611.95
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$10,059.80
Period Start
Login to Apply

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 14.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 13.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
27,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,059.80
Current Value
$10,611.95
Period P&L
$552.15
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
13 / 18
Best Trade
+15.12%
Worst Trade
-7.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$701,215.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$552.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$552.15
Gross Return
+5.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 31 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,059.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 12:10pm ET $67.24 149 $10,018.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 10:05am ET $68.96 149 $10,275.04 $10,316.82 +$257.02
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 10:15am ET $69.03 149 $10,284.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 10:50am ET $71.13 149 $10,598.37 $10,630.46 +$313.64
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:05pm ET $68.72 154 $10,582.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 3:35pm ET $69.46 154 $10,696.84 $10,745.19 +$114.73
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 3:40pm ET $69.37 154 $10,682.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 11:30am ET $71.14 154 $10,954.97 $11,017.95 +$272.76
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 11:35am ET $71.20 154 $10,964.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 10:00am ET $75.44 154 $11,617.76 $11,670.91 +$652.96
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 10:35am ET $75.61 154 $11,643.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 11:05am ET $75.26 154 $11,589.27 $11,616.24 $-54.67
(-0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:50am ET $68.73 169 $11,615.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 12:20pm ET $68.82 169 $11,630.58 $11,631.45 +$15.21
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 12:05pm ET $66.62 174 $11,591.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:00am ET $68.30 174 $11,884.23 $11,923.80 +$292.35
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 10:35am ET $68.74 173 $11,891.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 11:05am ET $70.13 173 $12,132.49 $12,165.13 +$241.33
(+2.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:10am ET $70.17 173 $12,139.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET $68.74 173 $11,891.16 $11,916.87 $-248.26
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 12:25pm ET $69.03 172 $11,873.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET $71.00 172 $12,211.33 $12,255.04 +$338.17
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 12:30pm ET $71.47 171 $12,221.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 3:00pm ET $70.63 171 $12,077.73 $12,111.40 $-143.64
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 10:05am ET $78.42 154 $12,076.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 10:45am ET $77.30 154 $11,903.43 $11,938.15 $-173.25
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET $59.82 199 $11,904.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $58.76 199 $11,693.24 $11,727.21 $-210.94
(-1.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET $61.57 190 $11,698.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:40am ET $61.15 190 $11,619.34 $11,648.25 $-78.96
(-0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET $62.26 187 $11,642.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET $61.54 187 $11,508.32 $11,513.95 $-134.30
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:25am ET $59.89 192 $11,498.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:10pm ET $59.26 192 $11,377.92 $11,392.99 $-120.96
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $60.07 189 $11,352.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $59.96 189 $11,332.44 $11,373.15 $-19.84
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $59.44 191 $11,353.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $59.39 191 $11,343.49 $11,363.60 $-9.55
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $59.61 190 $11,324.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $58.79 190 $11,169.15 $11,207.80 $-155.80
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $58.64 191 $11,200.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $57.38 191 $10,958.63 $10,966.18 $-241.62
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $57.66 190 $10,955.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $57.07 190 $10,842.35 $10,853.13 $-113.05
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.25 192 $10,800.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.98 192 $10,940.16 $10,993.29 +$140.16
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $41.72 263 $10,972.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET $41.08 263 $10,804.80 $10,825.81 $-167.48
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $40.74 265 $10,797.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $42.04 265 $11,140.60 $11,168.99 +$343.18
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $42.29 264 $11,165.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:55am ET $41.84 264 $11,045.76 $11,048.87 $-120.12
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:50am ET $39.77 277 $11,016.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.29 277 $11,161.71 $11,194.29 +$145.42
(+1.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $46.10 242 $11,156.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $43.54 242 $10,536.68 $10,574.77 $-619.52
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42d held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $47.35 223 $10,559.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET $54.51 223 $12,155.73 $12,171.45 +$1,596.68
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $57.67 211 $12,167.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $53.16 211 $11,216.76 $11,220.89 $-950.56
(-7.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
31d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:15am ET $54.81 204 $11,182.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET $51.83 204 $10,573.32 $10,611.95 $-608.94
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,611.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$611.95
Total Return: +6.12%
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