REGN Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+14.85%
Last Year Return
$7,760.24
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$6,756.97
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 13, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
5.7/100
× Confidence 0.73
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,233
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
256 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$6,756.97
Current Value
$7,760.24
Period P&L
$1,003.27
Max Drawdown
-40.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
20 /
19
Best Trade
+8.29%
Worst Trade
-1.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
20.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$538,789.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,003.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,003.27
Gross Return
+14.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.85%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 256 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $6,756.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $572.74 | 11 | $6,300.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:35am ET | $565.55 | 11 | $6,221.05 | $6,631.24 |
$-79.09 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 12:40pm ET | $570.42 | 11 | $6,274.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $564.12 | 11 | $6,205.32 | $6,562.00 |
$-69.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:05am ET | $599.79 | 10 | $5,997.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:35am ET | $602.17 | 10 | $6,021.70 | $6,585.80 |
+$23.80 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $609.22 | 10 | $6,092.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 2:30pm ET | $602.73 | 10 | $6,027.25 | $6,520.85 |
$-64.95 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 11:50am ET | $588.04 | 11 | $6,468.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 2:45pm ET | $577.98 | 11 | $6,357.78 | $6,410.19 |
$-110.66 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $576.50 | 11 | $6,341.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $570.00 | 11 | $6,270.00 | $6,338.69 |
$-71.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 10:30am ET | $555.00 | 11 | $6,105.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 11:00am ET | $564.18 | 11 | $6,205.98 | $6,439.67 |
+$100.98 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:05am ET | $564.55 | 11 | $6,210.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $580.62 | 11 | $6,386.82 | $6,616.44 |
+$176.77 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $578.64 | 11 | $6,364.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $572.01 | 11 | $6,292.11 | $6,543.56 |
$-72.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:15pm ET | $577.22 | 11 | $6,349.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 12:45pm ET | $579.76 | 11 | $6,377.31 | $6,571.44 |
+$27.88 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:10am ET | $579.72 | 11 | $6,376.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:40am ET | $586.99 | 11 | $6,456.89 | $6,651.46 |
+$80.02 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 11:45am ET | $585.95 | 11 | $6,445.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:10am ET | $579.41 | 11 | $6,373.51 | $6,579.52 |
$-71.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 10:15am ET | $584.39 | 11 | $6,428.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $632.83 | 11 | $6,961.13 | $7,112.42 |
+$532.90 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $641.00 | 11 | $7,051.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 11:05am ET | $657.33 | 11 | $7,230.63 | $7,292.05 |
+$179.63 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 11:10am ET | $658.10 | 11 | $7,239.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $650.70 | 11 | $7,157.70 | $7,210.65 |
$-81.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $661.60 | 10 | $6,615.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 10:20am ET | $654.23 | 10 | $6,542.30 | $7,136.97 |
$-73.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:30am ET | $658.44 | 10 | $6,584.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 12:50pm ET | $651.25 | 10 | $6,512.50 | $7,065.07 |
$-71.90 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $639.44 | 11 | $7,033.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $656.10 | 11 | $7,217.05 | $7,248.28 |
+$183.21 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:05pm ET | $652.35 | 11 | $7,175.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:35pm ET | $654.88 | 11 | $7,203.68 | $7,276.11 |
+$27.83 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $660.00 | 11 | $7,260.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $690.14 | 11 | $7,591.54 | $7,607.65 |
+$331.54 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $703.17 | 10 | $7,031.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:10pm ET | $695.53 | 10 | $6,955.30 | $7,531.25 |
$-76.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:20am ET | $705.33 | 10 | $7,053.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:50am ET | $712.95 | 10 | $7,129.50 | $7,607.45 |
+$76.20 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:55am ET | $713.01 | 10 | $7,130.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET | $705.87 | 10 | $7,058.70 | $7,536.05 |
$-71.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:20am ET | $741.99 | 10 | $7,419.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $733.39 | 10 | $7,333.90 | $7,450.05 |
$-86.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET | $752.30 | 9 | $6,770.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:10am ET | $772.53 | 9 | $6,952.77 | $7,632.12 |
+$182.07 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET | $780.28 | 9 | $7,022.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET | $786.64 | 9 | $7,079.76 | $7,689.36 |
+$57.24 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 10:10am ET | $706.89 | 10 | $7,068.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:45pm ET | $726.00 | 10 | $7,260.00 | $7,880.46 |
+$191.10 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $747.09 | 10 | $7,470.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:05am ET | $739.11 | 10 | $7,391.05 | $7,800.61 |
$-79.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $766.40 | 10 | $7,664.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:50am ET | $758.69 | 10 | $7,586.85 | $7,723.46 |
$-77.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $780.66 | 9 | $7,025.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET | $783.08 | 9 | $7,047.74 | $7,745.31 |
+$21.85 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $812.36 | 9 | $7,311.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $802.68 | 9 | $7,224.12 | $7,658.19 |
$-87.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $731.77 | 10 | $7,317.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $739.18 | 10 | $7,391.80 | $7,732.29 |
+$74.10 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $749.28 | 10 | $7,492.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $755.28 | 10 | $7,552.78 | $7,792.27 |
+$59.98 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $764.50 | 10 | $7,645.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $766.23 | 10 | $7,662.25 | $7,809.52 |
+$17.25 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $777.43 | 10 | $7,774.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $765.10 | 10 | $7,651.00 | $7,686.17 |
$-123.35 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $778.89 | 9 | $7,010.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $776.70 | 9 | $6,990.30 | $7,666.46 |
$-19.71 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $760.96 | 10 | $7,609.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $780.71 | 10 | $7,807.10 | $7,864.01 |
+$197.55 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $790.00 | 9 | $7,110.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $777.94 | 9 | $7,001.46 | $7,755.47 |
$-108.54 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $802.94 | 9 | $7,226.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $803.47 | 9 | $7,231.23 | $7,760.24 |
+$4.77 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,760.24
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,239.76
Total Return:
-22.40%