SNOW Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 42 trades in period
+56.62%
Last Year Return
$9,069.83
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$5,791.11
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 3.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,963
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$5,791.11
Current Value
$9,069.83
Period P&L
$3,278.72
Max Drawdown
-52.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
20 /
22
Best Trade
+30.84%
Worst Trade
-9.60%
Avg Trade Return
+1.27%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$499,054.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,278.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,278.72
Gross Return
+56.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+56.62%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $5,791.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $222.87 | 25 | $5,571.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $223.53 | 25 | $5,588.25 | $5,807.61 |
+$16.50 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $230.31 | 25 | $5,757.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 11:20am ET | $227.50 | 25 | $5,687.50 | $5,737.36 |
$-70.25 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 2:05pm ET | $231.40 | 24 | $5,553.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $238.81 | 24 | $5,731.44 | $5,915.20 |
+$177.84 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $239.20 | 24 | $5,740.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $236.44 | 24 | $5,674.56 | $5,848.96 |
$-66.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 11:40am ET | $244.32 | 23 | $5,619.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $239.74 | 23 | $5,514.02 | $5,743.62 |
$-105.34 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 10:05am ET | $244.70 | 23 | $5,628.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:50am ET | $251.16 | 23 | $5,776.57 | $5,892.09 |
+$148.47 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 11:55am ET | $252.08 | 23 | $5,797.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $249.00 | 23 | $5,727.00 | $5,821.37 |
$-70.72 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:40pm ET | $246.43 | 23 | $5,667.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $243.21 | 23 | $5,593.72 | $5,747.20 |
$-74.17 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $248.06 | 23 | $5,705.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $245.50 | 23 | $5,646.50 | $5,688.32 |
$-58.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 10:05am ET | $250.18 | 22 | $5,503.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $254.93 | 22 | $5,608.46 | $5,792.93 |
+$104.61 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 1:50pm ET | $259.14 | 22 | $5,701.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $266.58 | 22 | $5,864.76 | $5,956.61 |
+$163.68 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $269.06 | 22 | $5,919.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $270.15 | 22 | $5,943.32 | $5,980.61 |
+$24.00 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 11:35am ET | $270.88 | 22 | $5,959.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 12:05pm ET | $270.90 | 22 | $5,959.75 | $5,981.00 |
+$0.39 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:20pm ET | $262.80 | 22 | $5,781.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $272.11 | 22 | $5,986.42 | $6,185.82 |
+$204.82 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $270.88 | 22 | $5,959.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:40am ET | $268.06 | 22 | $5,897.28 | $6,123.85 |
$-61.97 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $254.92 | 24 | $6,117.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:00am ET | $254.88 | 24 | $6,117.12 | $6,123.01 |
$-0.84 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:55pm ET | $255.66 | 23 | $5,880.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET | $253.10 | 23 | $5,821.30 | $6,064.13 |
$-58.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET | $256.24 | 23 | $5,893.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:45pm ET | $253.17 | 23 | $5,822.80 | $5,993.40 |
$-70.73 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $242.26 | 24 | $5,814.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 11:10am ET | $244.90 | 24 | $5,877.48 | $6,056.64 |
+$63.24 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:15am ET | $245.42 | 24 | $5,890.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:45am ET | $249.16 | 24 | $5,979.88 | $6,146.44 |
+$89.80 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 12:00pm ET | $252.62 | 24 | $6,062.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $263.42 | 24 | $6,322.08 | $6,405.64 |
+$259.20 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET | $265.32 | 24 | $6,367.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $239.86 | 24 | $5,756.52 | $5,794.60 |
$-611.04 (-9.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $218.56 | 26 | $5,682.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET | $216.34 | 26 | $5,624.84 | $5,736.88 |
$-57.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 3:00pm ET | $220.25 | 26 | $5,726.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:30pm ET | $218.36 | 26 | $5,677.23 | $5,687.61 |
$-49.27 (-0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $222.88 | 25 | $5,572.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $220.45 | 25 | $5,511.14 | $5,626.75 |
$-60.86 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:50pm ET | $222.69 | 25 | $5,567.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 2:20pm ET | $225.72 | 25 | $5,643.00 | $5,702.50 |
+$75.75 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:25pm ET | $225.93 | 25 | $5,648.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $220.34 | 25 | $5,508.50 | $5,562.75 |
$-139.75 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $222.25 | 25 | $5,556.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $225.18 | 25 | $5,629.50 | $5,636.00 |
+$73.25 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $230.97 | 24 | $5,543.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $234.27 | 24 | $5,622.48 | $5,715.32 |
+$79.32 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $235.59 | 24 | $5,654.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:45pm ET | $233.11 | 24 | $5,594.64 | $5,655.80 |
$-59.52 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $219.74 | 25 | $5,493.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $214.26 | 25 | $5,356.46 | $5,518.76 |
$-137.04 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $210.76 | 26 | $5,479.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $216.03 | 26 | $5,616.78 | $5,655.78 |
+$137.02 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $212.80 | 26 | $5,532.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $212.64 | 26 | $5,528.64 | $5,651.62 |
$-4.16 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $168.59 | 33 | $5,563.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $173.61 | 33 | $5,729.13 | $5,817.44 |
+$165.82 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $174.19 | 33 | $5,748.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $184.91 | 33 | $6,102.03 | $6,171.20 |
+$353.76 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $183.47 | 33 | $6,054.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $181.77 | 33 | $5,998.41 | $6,115.10 |
$-56.10 (-0.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.70 | 33 | $5,963.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $171.34 | 33 | $5,654.06 | $5,806.06 |
$-309.04 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.80 | 37 | $5,801.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $148.87 | 37 | $5,508.26 | $5,512.72 |
$-293.34 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.20 | 39 | $5,428.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $161.13 | 39 | $6,284.07 | $6,368.18 |
+$855.46 (+15.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
33d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.00 | 35 | $6,230.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.90 | 35 | $8,151.50 | $8,289.68 |
+$1,921.50 (+30.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.67 | 29 | $8,284.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $330.08 | 29 | $9,572.32 | $9,577.71 |
+$1,288.03 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $378.60 | 25 | $9,465.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $358.29 | 25 | $8,957.13 | $9,069.83 |
$-507.88 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,069.83
Net Profit/Loss:
$-930.17
Total Return:
-9.30%