SQQQ Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 54 trades in period
+61.87%
Last Year Return
$12,101.11
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$7,475.83
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
18.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 18.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,832
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,475.83
Current Value
$12,101.11
Period P&L
$4,625.28
Max Drawdown
-38.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
24 /
30
Best Trade
+16.00%
Worst Trade
-6.50%
Avg Trade Return
+1.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$989,531.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,625.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,625.28
Gross Return
+61.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+61.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,475.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 1:50pm ET | $77.89 | 96 | $7,477.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 2:00pm ET | $80.32 | 96 | $7,711.15 | $7,737.38 |
+$233.66 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET | $79.30 | 97 | $7,692.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 12:20pm ET | $78.33 | 97 | $7,597.53 | $7,642.81 |
$-94.57 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $77.00 | 99 | $7,622.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 1:30pm ET | $77.59 | 99 | $7,681.21 | $7,701.12 |
+$58.31 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $74.77 | 103 | $7,701.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $73.68 | 103 | $7,588.58 | $7,588.64 |
$-112.48 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:50am ET | $73.53 | 103 | $7,573.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:20am ET | $73.23 | 103 | $7,542.18 | $7,557.69 |
$-30.95 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $73.23 | 103 | $7,543.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $72.50 | 103 | $7,467.50 | $7,482.14 |
$-75.55 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $73.45 | 101 | $7,418.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:15am ET | $75.55 | 101 | $7,630.20 | $7,693.89 |
+$211.75 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 1:00pm ET | $75.68 | 101 | $7,643.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 2:50pm ET | $74.85 | 101 | $7,559.35 | $7,609.81 |
$-84.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 11:40am ET | $74.38 | 102 | $7,587.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $76.45 | 102 | $7,797.85 | $7,820.64 |
+$210.83 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $73.23 | 106 | $7,761.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $75.20 | 106 | $7,971.15 | $8,029.94 |
+$209.30 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 12:00pm ET | $64.22 | 125 | $8,027.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 11:35am ET | $65.85 | 125 | $8,231.25 | $8,233.88 |
+$203.94 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 3:20pm ET | $66.47 | 123 | $8,175.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 10:00am ET | $65.30 | 123 | $8,031.90 | $8,090.46 |
$-143.42 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:55am ET | $65.38 | 123 | $8,041.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 12:25pm ET | $64.97 | 123 | $7,991.62 | $8,040.95 |
$-49.51 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 2:15pm ET | $65.05 | 123 | $8,001.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:05am ET | $66.89 | 123 | $8,227.72 | $8,267.64 |
+$226.69 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 1:15pm ET | $68.55 | 120 | $8,225.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $67.85 | 120 | $8,142.06 | $8,184.30 |
$-83.34 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $70.10 | 116 | $8,131.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $69.23 | 116 | $8,030.10 | $8,082.74 |
$-101.56 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $74.70 | 108 | $8,067.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:20pm ET | $73.90 | 108 | $7,981.20 | $7,996.88 |
$-85.86 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $69.35 | 115 | $7,975.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:35pm ET | $68.55 | 115 | $7,883.19 | $7,904.76 |
$-92.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET | $71.21 | 111 | $7,904.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $74.00 | 111 | $8,213.94 | $8,214.12 |
+$309.36 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:55pm ET | $74.10 | 110 | $8,151.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $78.18 | 110 | $8,599.25 | $8,662.37 |
+$448.25 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET | $77.78 | 111 | $8,633.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:20am ET | $76.85 | 111 | $8,530.35 | $8,559.69 |
$-102.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $77.50 | 110 | $8,525.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $76.63 | 110 | $8,428.75 | $8,463.44 |
$-96.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $72.15 | 117 | $8,441.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $74.25 | 117 | $8,687.21 | $8,709.10 |
+$245.66 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $68.17 | 127 | $8,656.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $67.27 | 127 | $8,543.29 | $8,595.43 |
$-113.67 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:40am ET | $66.79 | 128 | $8,549.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $66.77 | 128 | $8,546.56 | $8,592.26 |
$-3.17 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $68.78 | 124 | $8,528.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $70.77 | 124 | $8,775.48 | $8,839.02 |
+$246.76 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $70.83 | 124 | $8,782.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $72.13 | 124 | $8,943.50 | $9,000.12 |
+$161.10 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $72.61 | 123 | $8,931.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:40pm ET | $74.49 | 123 | $9,162.27 | $9,231.36 |
+$231.24 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET | $67.86 | 136 | $9,229.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $66.24 | 136 | $9,008.64 | $9,010.39 |
$-220.97 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $67.33 | 133 | $8,954.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $69.14 | 133 | $9,195.55 | $9,251.05 |
+$240.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $65.03 | 142 | $9,234.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $64.36 | 142 | $9,139.12 | $9,155.91 |
$-95.14 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.03 | 134 | $9,116.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $67.33 | 134 | $9,021.55 | $9,061.44 |
$-94.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $65.63 | 138 | $9,056.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $66.35 | 138 | $9,155.61 | $9,160.80 |
+$99.36 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $66.45 | 137 | $9,102.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $69.53 | 137 | $9,525.61 | $9,583.45 |
+$422.65 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $70.27 | 136 | $9,556.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $69.28 | 136 | $9,422.08 | $9,448.80 |
$-134.65 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $62.55 | 151 | $9,444.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $65.33 | 151 | $9,864.08 | $9,868.58 |
+$419.78 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $65.42 | 150 | $9,813.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $67.14 | 150 | $10,071.00 | $10,126.58 |
+$258.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $65.62 | 154 | $10,105.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $64.73 | 154 | $9,968.88 | $9,989.98 |
$-136.60 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $67.13 | 148 | $9,935.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $68.98 | 148 | $10,209.04 | $10,263.78 |
+$273.80 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $70.33 | 145 | $10,197.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $69.58 | 145 | $10,089.59 | $10,155.52 |
$-108.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $75.32 | 134 | $10,092.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $74.39 | 134 | $9,968.30 | $10,031.34 |
$-124.18 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $69.29 | 144 | $9,978.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $68.57 | 144 | $9,874.07 | $9,926.93 |
$-104.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $70.07 | 141 | $9,879.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $71.89 | 141 | $10,137.19 | $10,184.25 |
+$257.32 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.46 | 131 | $10,147.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $89.15 | 131 | $11,678.64 | $11,715.63 |
+$1,531.38 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.43 | 143 | $11,644.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.72 | 143 | $10,970.96 | $11,042.10 |
$-673.53 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.20 | 203 | $11,002.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $51.45 | 203 | $10,445.16 | $10,484.66 |
$-557.44 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.79 | 245 | $10,483.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 245 | $9,802.60 | $9,803.71 |
$-680.95 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.25 | 256 | $9,792.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $44.37 | 256 | $11,358.90 | $11,370.61 |
+$1,566.90 (+16.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.31 | 282 | $11,367.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.81 | 282 | $10,663.83 | $10,667.02 |
$-703.59 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.59 | 256 | $10,647.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.42 | 256 | $10,091.52 | $10,111.50 |
$-555.52 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.73 | 267 | $10,073.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.67 | 267 | $11,658.56 | $11,696.12 |
+$1,584.62 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.62 | 274 | $11,677.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $49.03 | 274 | $13,434.25 | $13,452.49 |
+$1,756.37 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.29 | 342 | $13,437.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $37.22 | 342 | $12,730.95 | $12,746.23 |
$-706.26 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.88 | 336 | $12,727.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $35.96 | 336 | $12,082.56 | $12,101.11 |
$-645.12 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
34d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,101.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,101.11
Total Return:
+21.01%