Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:30:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 26.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
252 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,871.50
Current Value
$11,782.81
Period P&L
$911.31
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
32 / 39
Best Trade
+11.34%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,667,406.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$911.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$911.31
Gross Return
+8.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 252 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,871.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 10:50am ET $423.95 25 $10,598.75
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:20am ET $419.68 25 $10,492.00 $10,838.25 $-106.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 10:25am ET $411.09 26 $10,688.22
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:00am ET $406.61 26 $10,571.73 $10,721.76 $-116.49
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 11:40am ET $426.72 25 $10,668.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 12:10pm ET $428.89 25 $10,722.13 $10,775.88 +$54.12
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 1:25pm ET $406.54 26 $10,570.15
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 1:55pm ET $409.90 26 $10,657.27 $10,863.00 +$87.12
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $410.00 26 $10,660.00
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 2:30pm ET $412.48 26 $10,724.48 $10,927.48 +$64.48
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $413.22 26 $10,743.72
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 10:00am ET $408.08 26 $10,609.95 $10,793.71 $-133.77
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 10:15am ET $399.71 27 $10,792.17
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:00am ET $393.87 27 $10,634.36 $10,635.90 $-157.81
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 11:20am ET $405.16 26 $10,534.03
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 12:30pm ET $400.87 26 $10,422.72 $10,524.59 $-111.31
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:40am ET $398.22 26 $10,353.72
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 10:45am ET $408.39 26 $10,618.01 $10,788.88 +$264.29
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 12:00pm ET $406.59 26 $10,571.34
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 10:35am ET $417.81 26 $10,863.05 $11,080.59 +$291.71
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:45am ET $415.99 26 $10,815.74
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:00am ET $409.78 26 $10,654.28 $10,919.13 $-161.46
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:25am ET $392.73 27 $10,603.71
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 10:55am ET $391.54 27 $10,571.58 $10,887.00 $-32.13
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 2:15pm ET $396.83 27 $10,714.41
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 2:45pm ET $398.05 27 $10,747.22 $10,919.81 +$32.81
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 3:00pm ET $399.27 27 $10,780.16
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 3:30pm ET $404.88 27 $10,931.76 $11,071.42 +$151.61
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 2:50pm ET $407.40 27 $10,999.80
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:20pm ET $410.36 27 $11,079.72 $11,151.34 +$79.92
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:15am ET $410.57 27 $11,085.26
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $421.79 27 $11,388.20 $11,454.28 +$302.94
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 11:40am ET $429.99 26 $11,179.61
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 12:15pm ET $425.54 26 $11,063.93 $11,338.60 $-115.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET $428.29 26 $11,135.41
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $423.00 26 $10,998.00 $11,201.19 $-137.41
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET $427.22 26 $11,107.72
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:30am ET $432.35 26 $11,241.10 $11,334.57 +$133.38
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 11:15am ET $433.62 26 $11,274.12
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:00am ET $425.12 26 $11,053.12 $11,113.57 $-221.00
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:20am ET $421.32 26 $10,954.32
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 11:30am ET $416.65 26 $10,832.90 $10,992.15 $-121.42
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 3:35pm ET $428.66 25 $10,716.50
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 10:00am ET $477.27 25 $11,931.75 $12,207.40 +$1,215.25
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 10:10am ET $478.89 25 $11,972.25
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:35pm ET $473.99 25 $11,849.75 $12,084.90 $-122.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 11:20am ET $481.85 25 $12,046.13
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 11:50am ET $485.13 25 $12,128.25 $12,167.02 +$82.12
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 11:55am ET $484.35 25 $12,108.63
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 12:25pm ET $485.59 25 $12,139.75 $12,198.14 +$31.12
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:25am ET $481.84 25 $12,046.00
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:50pm ET $475.53 25 $11,888.25 $12,040.39 $-157.75
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 11:05am ET $463.88 25 $11,597.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 11:35am ET $469.02 25 $11,725.50 $12,168.89 +$128.50
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 1:10pm ET $457.96 26 $11,906.83
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 1:40pm ET $460.81 26 $11,981.06 $12,243.12 +$74.23
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:00am ET $469.37 26 $12,203.49
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:05am ET $483.10 26 $12,560.60 $12,600.23 +$357.11
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 12:00pm ET $485.65 25 $12,141.25
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 10:15am ET $479.75 25 $11,993.75 $12,452.73 $-147.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 3:20pm ET $485.49 25 $12,137.25
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 3:50pm ET $490.16 25 $12,254.00 $12,569.48 +$116.75
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:20am ET $498.93 25 $12,473.25
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:25am ET $493.43 25 $12,335.75 $12,431.98 $-137.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $495.58 25 $12,389.50
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $493.13 25 $12,328.25 $12,370.73 $-61.25
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 1:35pm ET $485.76 25 $12,144.00
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $500.90 25 $12,522.38 $12,749.11 +$378.38
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:05am ET $501.51 25 $12,537.75
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:25am ET $495.66 25 $12,391.38 $12,602.73 $-146.38
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:20am ET $490.42 25 $12,260.50
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:40am ET $485.49 25 $12,137.13 $12,479.35 $-123.38
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 12:00pm ET $480.59 25 $12,014.73
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 12:20pm ET $475.37 25 $11,884.25 $12,348.87 $-130.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:00am ET $479.38 25 $11,984.38
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:30am ET $482.63 25 $12,065.75 $12,430.24 +$81.37
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 11:20am ET $467.68 26 $12,159.62
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 12:45pm ET $479.98 26 $12,479.48 $12,750.11 +$319.87
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET $507.46 25 $12,686.50
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:20am ET $520.74 25 $13,018.38 $13,081.99 +$331.88
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:05am ET $540.41 24 $12,969.84
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:35am ET $539.71 24 $12,953.04 $13,065.19 $-16.80
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 12:25pm ET $544.86 23 $12,531.84
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 12:55pm ET $540.72 23 $12,436.45 $12,969.80 $-95.39
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 1:40pm ET $528.27 24 $12,678.48
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 2:10pm ET $528.32 24 $12,679.68 $12,971.00 +$1.20
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET $548.81 23 $12,622.52
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 3:15pm ET $543.31 23 $12,496.13 $12,844.61 $-126.39
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 10:00am ET $566.79 22 $12,469.38
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 3:15pm ET $560.80 22 $12,337.60 $12,712.83 $-131.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:35am ET $563.71 22 $12,401.51
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:35pm ET $557.90 22 $12,273.80 $12,585.12 $-127.71
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:35am ET $566.00 22 $12,452.00
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $558.04 22 $12,276.88 $12,410.00 $-175.12
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:30am ET $566.63 21 $11,899.23
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 11:00am ET $562.53 21 $11,813.13 $12,323.90 $-86.10
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 11:45am ET $565.44 21 $11,874.24
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 12:15pm ET $562.31 21 $11,808.51 $12,258.17 $-65.73
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:15am ET $573.06 21 $12,034.26
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 1:30pm ET $566.66 21 $11,899.86 $12,123.77 $-134.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:45am ET $582.82 20 $11,656.40
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:15pm ET $586.56 20 $11,731.20 $12,198.57 +$74.80
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:10am ET $595.27 20 $11,905.40
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 2:35pm ET $588.81 20 $11,776.10 $12,069.27 $-129.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:45am ET $582.78 20 $11,655.60
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:10am ET $575.69 20 $11,513.80 $11,927.47 $-141.80
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:35pm ET $570.57 20 $11,411.30
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:05pm ET $571.68 20 $11,433.60 $11,949.77 +$22.30
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:35am ET $578.67 20 $11,573.41
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:05pm ET $582.96 20 $11,659.20 $12,035.56 +$85.79
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:25am ET $595.86 20 $11,917.10
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:40am ET $589.60 20 $11,792.00 $11,910.46 $-125.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:15pm ET $571.96 20 $11,439.12
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:45pm ET $577.11 20 $11,542.10 $12,013.44 +$102.98
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:20am ET $566.17 21 $11,889.57
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:50am ET $574.23 21 $12,058.83 $12,182.70 +$169.26
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:55am ET $572.95 21 $12,031.95
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:25am ET $578.04 21 $12,138.74 $12,289.48 +$106.78
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:45am ET $579.19 21 $12,162.99
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $576.85 21 $12,113.75 $12,240.23 $-49.25
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $609.11 20 $12,182.20
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $627.48 20 $12,549.50 $12,607.53 +$367.30
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET $626.99 20 $12,539.80
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET $620.26 20 $12,405.20 $12,472.93 $-134.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $617.12 20 $12,342.30
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $610.75 20 $12,215.00 $12,345.63 $-127.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $622.31 19 $11,823.80
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $627.88 19 $11,929.72 $12,451.56 +$105.93
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $615.57 20 $12,311.40
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET $629.66 20 $12,593.20 $12,733.36 +$281.80
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $629.98 20 $12,599.60
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET $639.58 20 $12,791.60 $12,925.36 +$192.00
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $633.39 20 $12,667.80
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $626.81 20 $12,536.20 $12,793.76 $-131.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:55am ET $594.55 21 $12,485.55
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $588.54 21 $12,359.34 $12,667.55 $-126.21
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $583.06 21 $12,244.26
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $575.22 21 $12,079.62 $12,502.91 $-164.64
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $546.01 22 $12,012.22
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $541.09 22 $11,903.87 $12,394.56 $-108.35
(-0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
71 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $485.74 25 $12,143.50
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:35am ET $461.27 25 $11,531.75 $11,782.81 $-611.75
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
31.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,782.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,782.81
Total Return: +17.83%
Back to Surge