VRTX Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 41 trades in period
+9.47%
Last Year Return
$10,680.91
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$9,756.93
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
16
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
18.0/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 15.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,173
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
253 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,756.93
Current Value
$10,680.91
Period P&L
$923.98
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
19 /
22
Best Trade
+15.98%
Worst Trade
-5.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$809,448.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$923.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$923.98
Gross Return
+9.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.47%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 253 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,756.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 10:10am ET | $389.55 | 25 | $9,738.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:40am ET | $386.91 | 25 | $9,672.63 | $9,690.80 |
$-66.13 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $399.88 | 24 | $9,597.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $408.47 | 24 | $9,803.28 | $9,896.96 |
+$206.16 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 12:45pm ET | $410.51 | 24 | $9,852.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 11:15am ET | $406.34 | 24 | $9,752.07 | $9,796.79 |
$-100.17 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $408.21 | 23 | $9,388.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $413.32 | 23 | $9,506.36 | $9,914.32 |
+$117.53 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 11:05am ET | $415.00 | 23 | $9,545.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 11:35am ET | $414.75 | 23 | $9,539.25 | $9,908.57 |
$-5.75 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $410.36 | 24 | $9,848.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:55am ET | $411.04 | 24 | $9,864.84 | $9,924.77 |
+$16.20 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 11:40am ET | $415.07 | 23 | $9,546.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET | $419.83 | 23 | $9,656.09 | $10,034.25 |
+$109.48 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $420.01 | 23 | $9,660.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 12:50pm ET | $424.47 | 23 | $9,762.81 | $10,136.83 |
+$102.58 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 12:55pm ET | $424.73 | 23 | $9,768.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 1:25pm ET | $427.72 | 23 | $9,837.56 | $10,205.60 |
+$68.77 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 1:30pm ET | $428.89 | 23 | $9,864.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 2:00pm ET | $425.91 | 23 | $9,795.93 | $10,137.06 |
$-68.54 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 11:50am ET | $421.34 | 24 | $10,112.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:40pm ET | $416.97 | 24 | $10,007.16 | $10,032.06 |
$-105.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 2:45pm ET | $425.51 | 23 | $9,786.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $421.15 | 23 | $9,686.45 | $9,931.89 |
$-100.17 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $421.68 | 23 | $9,698.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 10:50am ET | $420.09 | 23 | $9,662.01 | $9,895.32 |
$-36.57 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:25am ET | $421.05 | 23 | $9,684.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 2:55pm ET | $415.28 | 23 | $9,551.44 | $9,762.73 |
$-132.59 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 11:45am ET | $418.06 | 23 | $9,615.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $410.69 | 23 | $9,445.87 | $9,593.33 |
$-169.40 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 2:00pm ET | $417.69 | 22 | $9,189.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 2:30pm ET | $425.32 | 22 | $9,357.04 | $9,761.19 |
+$167.86 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 2:40pm ET | $426.54 | 22 | $9,383.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 3:10pm ET | $435.00 | 22 | $9,570.00 | $9,947.31 |
+$186.12 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 3:15pm ET | $435.29 | 22 | $9,576.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:45pm ET | $434.40 | 22 | $9,556.69 | $9,927.62 |
$-19.69 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:25pm ET | $439.28 | 22 | $9,664.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:20pm ET | $434.83 | 22 | $9,566.26 | $9,829.83 |
$-97.79 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:10am ET | $427.32 | 23 | $9,828.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:30pm ET | $423.01 | 23 | $9,729.23 | $9,730.70 |
$-99.13 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $433.00 | 22 | $9,526.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $426.82 | 22 | $9,390.04 | $9,594.74 |
$-135.96 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $430.58 | 22 | $9,472.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $453.95 | 22 | $9,986.85 | $10,108.94 |
+$514.20 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET | $457.45 | 22 | $10,063.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:00pm ET | $458.78 | 22 | $10,093.16 | $10,138.20 |
+$29.26 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $442.70 | 22 | $9,739.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:30pm ET | $446.11 | 22 | $9,814.42 | $10,213.28 |
+$75.08 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $453.55 | 22 | $9,978.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:35am ET | $451.28 | 22 | $9,928.16 | $10,163.34 |
$-49.94 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $453.32 | 22 | $9,973.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:30am ET | $458.40 | 22 | $10,084.80 | $10,275.10 |
+$111.76 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 3:45pm ET | $459.35 | 22 | $10,105.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:15am ET | $463.19 | 22 | $10,190.07 | $10,359.47 |
+$84.37 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $482.38 | 21 | $10,129.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $477.14 | 21 | $10,019.84 | $10,249.32 |
$-110.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $445.76 | 22 | $9,806.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $433.93 | 22 | $9,546.35 | $9,988.95 |
$-260.37 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $438.99 | 22 | $9,657.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $449.99 | 22 | $9,899.67 | $10,230.84 |
+$241.89 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $451.87 | 22 | $9,941.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $463.66 | 22 | $10,200.52 | $10,490.28 |
+$259.44 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $469.12 | 22 | $10,320.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:20pm ET | $464.25 | 22 | $10,213.50 | $10,383.14 |
$-107.14 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $475.83 | 21 | $9,992.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $482.71 | 21 | $10,136.81 | $10,527.49 |
+$144.35 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $477.33 | 22 | $10,501.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:25am ET | $479.44 | 22 | $10,547.68 | $10,573.91 |
+$46.42 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $475.86 | 22 | $10,468.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $469.90 | 22 | $10,337.91 | $10,443.01 |
$-130.90 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $469.11 | 22 | $10,320.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $471.80 | 22 | $10,379.71 | $10,502.30 |
+$59.29 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $467.66 | 22 | $10,288.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $462.88 | 22 | $10,183.36 | $10,397.14 |
$-105.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 1:20pm ET | $500.37 | 20 | $10,007.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $492.85 | 20 | $9,857.00 | $10,246.74 |
$-150.40 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $481.61 | 21 | $10,113.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $456.82 | 21 | $9,593.20 | $9,726.03 |
$-520.71 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $440.20 | 22 | $9,684.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $510.54 | 22 | $11,231.88 | $11,273.51 |
+$1,547.48 (+16.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
28d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $541.04 | 20 | $10,820.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $511.41 | 20 | $10,228.20 | $10,680.91 |
$-592.60 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,680.91
Net Profit/Loss:
+$680.91
Total Return:
+6.81%