Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:38:14

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 13.1/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,649
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-07-28 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,995.96
Current Value
$10,616.05
Period P&L
$-379.91
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
26 / 44
Best Trade
+15.36%
Worst Trade
-5.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
20.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,680,649.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-379.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-379.91
Gross Return
-3.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,995.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:50am ET $40.99 268 $10,985.21
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 3:25pm ET $42.02 268 $11,261.36 $11,272.11 +$276.15
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 11:10am ET $42.30 266 $11,251.80
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 11:50am ET $41.83 266 $11,126.78 $11,147.09 $-125.02
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 11:10am ET $42.08 264 $11,109.12
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 11:35am ET $41.65 264 $10,995.60 $11,033.57 $-113.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:00am ET $43.35 254 $11,010.90
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET $44.53 254 $11,310.62 $11,333.29 +$299.72
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 10:05am ET $41.75 271 $11,314.25
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 2:15pm ET $42.84 271 $11,609.64 $11,628.68 +$295.39
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $41.05 283 $11,617.15
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 10:00am ET $39.94 283 $11,303.02 $11,314.55 $-314.13
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 10:20am ET $39.18 288 $11,282.40
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 10:50am ET $39.11 288 $11,263.68 $11,295.83 $-18.72
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:45am ET $38.13 296 $11,286.48
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:00am ET $39.42 296 $11,668.32 $11,677.67 +$381.84
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 10:45am ET $39.93 292 $11,659.56
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 11:15am ET $39.41 292 $11,507.72 $11,525.83 $-151.84
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 12:20pm ET $36.23 318 $11,521.14
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 10:00am ET $35.79 318 $11,381.22 $11,385.91 $-139.92
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET $36.23 314 $11,374.65
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 10:00am ET $37.67 314 $11,828.38 $11,839.64 +$453.73
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:05am ET $34.94 338 $11,809.72
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:20am ET $35.83 338 $12,110.54 $12,140.46 +$300.82
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 11:15am ET $34.47 352 $12,133.02
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 10:00am ET $33.84 352 $11,911.68 $11,919.12 $-221.34
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 11:50am ET $33.61 354 $11,897.94
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 12:20pm ET $34.16 354 $12,092.64 $12,113.82 +$194.70
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 3:25pm ET $34.41 352 $12,112.32
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET $33.95 352 $11,948.64 $11,950.14 $-163.68
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:45am ET $33.19 360 $11,948.40
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 12:30pm ET $32.80 360 $11,808.00 $11,809.74 $-140.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:10am ET $33.28 354 $11,781.12
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 10:40am ET $33.32 354 $11,793.51 $11,822.13 +$12.39
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 3:50pm ET $33.67 351 $11,816.42
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $34.58 351 $12,137.47 $12,143.19 +$321.06
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $34.56 351 $12,130.56
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $34.19 351 $12,000.69 $12,013.32 $-129.87
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 11:45am ET $34.47 348 $11,995.42
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 1:30pm ET $34.10 348 $11,865.16 $11,883.06 $-130.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET $34.21 347 $11,871.32
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 11:25am ET $33.80 347 $11,728.60 $11,740.34 $-142.72
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET $33.14 354 $11,731.56
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:45am ET $33.36 354 $11,807.67 $11,816.45 +$76.11
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET $33.64 351 $11,807.64
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 2:15pm ET $33.25 351 $11,670.75 $11,679.56 $-136.89
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 3:25pm ET $33.46 349 $11,675.80
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $33.06 349 $11,537.94 $11,541.71 $-137.85
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 10:40am ET $33.15 348 $11,534.46
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 2:00pm ET $33.98 348 $11,825.04 $11,832.29 +$290.58
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $33.67 351 $11,818.17
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $34.62 351 $12,149.87 $12,163.99 +$331.70
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 11:35am ET $35.73 340 $12,148.20
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:05pm ET $36.96 340 $12,566.40 $12,582.19 +$418.20
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:05am ET $36.81 341 $12,552.21
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:15pm ET $38.00 341 $12,958.00 $12,987.98 +$405.79
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $34.41 377 $12,972.57
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:00am ET $34.00 377 $12,817.96 $12,833.37 $-154.61
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $33.17 386 $12,803.62
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET $31.90 386 $12,313.40 $12,343.15 $-490.22
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 11:50am ET $32.34 381 $12,321.54
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 12:20pm ET $32.49 381 $12,378.69 $12,400.30 +$57.15
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 2:10pm ET $32.54 381 $12,397.74
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $33.39 381 $12,721.59 $12,724.15 +$323.85
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:40pm ET $33.22 383 $12,723.26
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:50pm ET $32.63 383 $12,497.29 $12,498.18 $-225.97
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 3:45pm ET $33.82 369 $12,477.74
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 10:00am ET $33.33 369 $12,298.77 $12,319.21 $-178.97
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:50am ET $33.50 367 $12,294.50
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 12:15pm ET $34.41 367 $12,628.47 $12,653.18 +$333.97
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:15am ET $34.30 368 $12,622.40
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 11:55am ET $33.84 368 $12,453.12 $12,483.90 $-169.28
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $34.83 358 $12,467.35
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET $34.31 358 $12,282.98 $12,299.53 $-184.37
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 12:00pm ET $36.96 332 $12,270.72
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 12:20pm ET $36.35 332 $12,068.20 $12,097.01 $-202.52
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET $33.10 365 $12,081.50
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $32.71 365 $11,939.15 $11,954.66 $-142.35
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET $33.84 353 $11,943.76
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $34.83 353 $12,294.99 $12,305.89 +$351.23
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 12:55pm ET $35.43 347 $12,294.21
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:45pm ET $36.45 347 $12,648.15 $12,659.83 +$353.94
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $37.95 333 $12,637.35
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $37.54 333 $12,500.82 $12,523.30 $-136.53
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:50am ET $34.70 360 $12,490.20
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET $35.80 360 $12,888.00 $12,921.10 +$397.80
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:30am ET $31.11 415 $12,910.65
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 12:50pm ET $30.72 415 $12,748.05 $12,758.50 $-162.60
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 11:00am ET $31.02 411 $12,747.17
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET $30.83 411 $12,669.08 $12,680.41 $-78.09
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:10am ET $29.56 429 $12,679.10
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $30.42 429 $13,050.18 $13,051.50 +$371.09
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $29.68 439 $13,029.52
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:30am ET $29.79 439 $13,077.81 $13,099.79 +$48.29
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET $29.73 440 $13,081.20
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET $29.13 440 $12,817.20 $12,835.79 $-264.00
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:20pm ET $26.61 482 $12,826.02
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $26.01 482 $12,536.82 $12,546.59 $-289.20
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $26.49 473 $12,529.77
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:25am ET $26.22 473 $12,402.06 $12,418.88 $-127.71
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:15am ET $26.27 472 $12,398.83
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.00 472 $12,269.64 $12,289.69 $-129.19
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $26.50 463 $12,269.50
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $26.22 463 $12,139.86 $12,160.05 $-129.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET $26.15 464 $12,135.22
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $27.70 464 $12,852.80 $12,877.63 +$717.58
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $27.83 462 $12,858.01
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:20am ET $27.36 462 $12,640.32 $12,659.94 $-217.69
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $26.42 479 $12,655.18
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.13 479 $12,513.88 $12,518.63 $-141.31
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $29.08 430 $12,504.44
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $27.72 430 $11,919.60 $11,933.79 $-584.84
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $26.53 449 $11,911.07
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET $26.23 449 $11,776.96 $11,799.67 $-134.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $26.70 441 $11,774.70
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $27.02 441 $11,915.82 $11,940.79 +$141.12
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $28.57 418 $11,940.17
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:10am ET $28.13 418 $11,758.34 $11,758.96 $-181.83
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $27.64 425 $11,747.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $27.36 425 $11,627.96 $11,639.92 $-119.04
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $26.93 432 $11,633.76
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET $26.64 432 $11,508.48 $11,514.64 $-125.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $29.57 389 $11,502.73
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET $29.13 389 $11,331.57 $11,343.48 $-171.16
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.08 418 $11,319.44
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $26.80 418 $11,202.40 $11,226.44 $-117.04
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $27.06 414 $11,202.84
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.77 414 $11,082.78 $11,106.38 $-120.06
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $27.19 408 $11,093.52
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET $28.05 408 $11,442.85 $11,455.71 +$349.33
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $33.88 338 $11,451.44
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $32.03 338 $10,824.45 $10,828.72 $-626.99
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
67 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $32.92 328 $10,799.07
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $37.98 328 $12,457.44 $12,487.09 +$1,658.37
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $36.83 339 $12,485.37
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $34.96 339 $11,851.44 $11,853.16 $-633.93
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
69 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.54 415 $11,844.10
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $27.03 415 $11,217.45 $11,226.51 $-626.65
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $24.06 466 $11,209.63
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $22.75 466 $10,599.17 $10,616.05 $-610.46
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,616.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$616.05
Total Return: +6.16%
Back to Surge