VXX Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 54 trades in period
-24.83%
Last Year Return
$9,030.93
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$12,013.32
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
4.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
27,370
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,013.32
Current Value
$9,030.93
Period P&L
$-2,982.39
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
17 /
37
Best Trade
+15.36%
Worst Trade
-5.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.47%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,298,365.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,982.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,982.39
Gross Return
-24.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.83%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,013.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 11:45am ET | $34.47 | 348 | $11,995.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 1:30pm ET | $34.10 | 348 | $11,865.16 | $11,883.06 |
$-130.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET | $34.21 | 347 | $11,871.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 11:25am ET | $33.80 | 347 | $11,728.60 | $11,740.34 |
$-142.72 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET | $33.14 | 354 | $11,731.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 10:45am ET | $33.36 | 354 | $11,807.67 | $11,816.45 |
+$76.11 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET | $33.64 | 351 | $11,807.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 2:15pm ET | $33.25 | 351 | $11,670.75 | $11,679.56 |
$-136.89 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 3:25pm ET | $33.46 | 349 | $11,675.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $33.06 | 349 | $11,537.94 | $11,541.71 |
$-137.85 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $33.15 | 348 | $11,534.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 2:00pm ET | $33.98 | 348 | $11,825.04 | $11,832.29 |
+$290.58 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $33.67 | 351 | $11,818.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $34.62 | 351 | $12,149.87 | $12,163.99 |
+$331.70 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:35am ET | $35.73 | 340 | $12,148.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:05pm ET | $36.96 | 340 | $12,566.40 | $12,582.19 |
+$418.20 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $36.81 | 341 | $12,552.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:15pm ET | $38.00 | 341 | $12,958.00 | $12,987.98 |
+$405.79 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $34.41 | 377 | $12,972.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:00am ET | $34.00 | 377 | $12,817.96 | $12,833.37 |
$-154.61 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $33.17 | 386 | $12,803.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $31.90 | 386 | $12,313.40 | $12,343.15 |
$-490.22 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:50am ET | $32.34 | 381 | $12,321.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 12:20pm ET | $32.49 | 381 | $12,378.69 | $12,400.30 |
+$57.15 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:10pm ET | $32.54 | 381 | $12,397.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $33.39 | 381 | $12,721.59 | $12,724.15 |
+$323.85 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 2:40pm ET | $33.22 | 383 | $12,723.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:50pm ET | $32.63 | 383 | $12,497.29 | $12,498.18 |
$-225.97 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $33.82 | 369 | $12,477.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.33 | 369 | $12,298.77 | $12,319.21 |
$-178.97 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:50am ET | $33.50 | 367 | $12,294.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 12:15pm ET | $34.41 | 367 | $12,628.47 | $12,653.18 |
+$333.97 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $34.30 | 368 | $12,622.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 11:55am ET | $33.84 | 368 | $12,453.12 | $12,483.90 |
$-169.28 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.83 | 358 | $12,467.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $34.31 | 358 | $12,282.98 | $12,299.53 |
$-184.37 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:00pm ET | $36.96 | 332 | $12,270.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $36.35 | 332 | $12,068.20 | $12,097.01 |
$-202.52 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $33.10 | 365 | $12,081.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 2:05pm ET | $32.71 | 365 | $11,939.15 | $11,954.66 |
$-142.35 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET | $33.84 | 353 | $11,943.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET | $34.83 | 353 | $12,294.99 | $12,305.89 |
+$351.23 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:55pm ET | $35.43 | 347 | $12,294.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:45pm ET | $36.45 | 347 | $12,648.15 | $12,659.83 |
+$353.94 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $37.95 | 333 | $12,637.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $37.54 | 333 | $12,500.82 | $12,523.30 |
$-136.53 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:50am ET | $34.70 | 360 | $12,490.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $35.80 | 360 | $12,888.00 | $12,921.10 |
+$397.80 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:30am ET | $31.11 | 415 | $12,910.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:50pm ET | $30.72 | 415 | $12,748.05 | $12,758.50 |
$-162.60 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $31.02 | 411 | $12,747.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET | $30.83 | 411 | $12,669.08 | $12,680.41 |
$-78.09 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $29.56 | 429 | $12,679.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $30.42 | 429 | $13,050.18 | $13,051.50 |
+$371.09 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $29.68 | 439 | $13,029.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $29.79 | 439 | $13,077.81 | $13,099.79 |
+$48.29 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $29.73 | 440 | $13,081.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $29.13 | 440 | $12,817.20 | $12,835.79 |
$-264.00 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:20pm ET | $26.61 | 482 | $12,826.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.01 | 482 | $12,536.82 | $12,546.59 |
$-289.20 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $26.49 | 473 | $12,529.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:25am ET | $26.22 | 473 | $12,402.06 | $12,418.88 |
$-127.71 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $26.27 | 472 | $12,398.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $26.00 | 472 | $12,269.64 | $12,289.69 |
$-129.19 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $26.50 | 463 | $12,269.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $26.22 | 463 | $12,139.86 | $12,160.05 |
$-129.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.15 | 464 | $12,135.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.70 | 464 | $12,852.80 | $12,877.63 |
+$717.58 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $27.83 | 462 | $12,858.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $27.36 | 462 | $12,640.32 | $12,659.94 |
$-217.69 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $26.42 | 479 | $12,655.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $26.13 | 479 | $12,513.88 | $12,518.63 |
$-141.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.08 | 430 | $12,504.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.72 | 430 | $11,919.60 | $11,933.79 |
$-584.84 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $26.53 | 449 | $11,911.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $26.23 | 449 | $11,776.96 | $11,799.67 |
$-134.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $26.70 | 441 | $11,774.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $27.02 | 441 | $11,915.82 | $11,940.79 |
+$141.12 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $28.57 | 418 | $11,940.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $28.13 | 418 | $11,758.34 | $11,758.96 |
$-181.83 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $27.64 | 425 | $11,747.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $27.36 | 425 | $11,627.96 | $11,639.92 |
$-119.04 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $26.93 | 432 | $11,633.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET | $26.64 | 432 | $11,508.48 | $11,514.64 |
$-125.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $29.57 | 389 | $11,502.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $29.13 | 389 | $11,331.57 | $11,343.48 |
$-171.16 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.08 | 418 | $11,319.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:20pm ET | $26.80 | 418 | $11,202.40 | $11,226.44 |
$-117.04 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $27.06 | 414 | $11,202.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:15pm ET | $26.77 | 414 | $11,082.78 | $11,106.38 |
$-120.06 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.19 | 408 | $11,093.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $28.05 | 408 | $11,442.85 | $11,455.71 |
+$349.33 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.88 | 338 | $11,451.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $32.03 | 338 | $10,824.45 | $10,828.72 |
$-626.99 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $32.92 | 328 | $10,799.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $37.98 | 328 | $12,457.44 | $12,487.09 |
+$1,658.37 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.83 | 339 | $12,485.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $34.96 | 339 | $11,851.44 | $11,853.16 |
$-633.93 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.54 | 415 | $11,844.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.03 | 415 | $11,217.45 | $11,226.51 |
$-626.65 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.06 | 466 | $11,209.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.75 | 466 | $10,599.17 | $10,616.05 |
$-610.46 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.69 | 467 | $10,598.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $21.51 | 467 | $10,047.50 | $10,064.99 |
$-551.06 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.54 | 446 | $10,052.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:35pm ET | $21.41 | 446 | $9,546.63 | $9,558.78 |
$-506.21 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.3d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.73 | 510 | $9,549.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.69 | 510 | $9,021.90 | $9,030.93 |
$-527.85 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,030.93
Net Profit/Loss:
$-969.07
Total Return:
-9.69%