XOM Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 33 trades in period
+19.45%
Last Year Return
$12,035.72
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$10,075.95
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.1/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
27.6/100
× Confidence 0.89
= 24.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,936
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,075.95
Current Value
$12,035.72
Period P&L
$1,959.77
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
17 /
16
Best Trade
+15.88%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$667,511.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,959.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,959.77
Gross Return
+19.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,075.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 1:25pm ET | $115.90 | 86 | $9,967.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 1:55pm ET | $117.70 | 86 | $10,122.20 | $10,230.76 |
+$154.81 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 12:35pm ET | $113.45 | 90 | $10,210.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:05pm ET | $114.18 | 90 | $10,276.20 | $10,296.91 |
+$66.15 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 11:15am ET | $114.82 | 89 | $10,218.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 11:45am ET | $113.92 | 89 | $10,138.88 | $10,217.26 |
$-79.65 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $112.37 | 90 | $10,113.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:55am ET | $112.39 | 90 | $10,115.10 | $10,219.06 |
+$1.80 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 11:40am ET | $112.87 | 90 | $10,158.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET | $112.40 | 90 | $10,116.00 | $10,176.76 |
$-42.30 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $114.17 | 89 | $10,161.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:40am ET | $115.65 | 89 | $10,292.85 | $10,308.48 |
+$131.72 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 12:05pm ET | $116.51 | 88 | $10,252.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $115.33 | 88 | $10,149.04 | $10,204.64 |
$-103.84 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 2:45pm ET | $114.15 | 89 | $10,159.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:15pm ET | $114.22 | 89 | $10,165.14 | $10,210.42 |
+$5.78 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $117.32 | 87 | $10,206.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $115.71 | 87 | $10,066.77 | $10,070.61 |
$-139.81 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 1:55pm ET | $117.90 | 85 | $10,021.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 2:25pm ET | $120.31 | 85 | $10,226.35 | $10,275.89 |
+$205.28 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:05pm ET | $119.71 | 85 | $10,175.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $117.61 | 85 | $9,996.43 | $10,096.97 |
$-178.92 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:35pm ET | $119.04 | 84 | $9,998.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:05pm ET | $118.64 | 84 | $9,965.76 | $10,063.79 |
$-33.18 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $118.25 | 85 | $10,051.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $116.21 | 85 | $9,877.85 | $9,890.39 |
$-173.40 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:10am ET | $117.40 | 84 | $9,861.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET | $117.93 | 84 | $9,906.12 | $9,935.33 |
+$44.94 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:15am ET | $115.35 | 86 | $9,920.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:45am ET | $116.34 | 86 | $10,004.81 | $10,020.04 |
+$84.71 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET | $117.60 | 85 | $9,996.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:00pm ET | $117.14 | 85 | $9,956.90 | $9,980.94 |
$-39.10 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:35am ET | $118.09 | 84 | $9,919.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:35pm ET | $116.86 | 84 | $9,816.24 | $9,877.87 |
$-103.07 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 3:25pm ET | $119.73 | 82 | $9,817.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $119.55 | 82 | $9,803.10 | $9,863.11 |
$-14.76 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $116.37 | 84 | $9,774.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $116.87 | 84 | $9,817.08 | $9,905.53 |
+$42.42 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $119.60 | 82 | $9,807.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:25am ET | $119.39 | 82 | $9,789.57 | $9,887.91 |
$-17.62 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:30am ET | $120.74 | 81 | $9,780.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $120.83 | 81 | $9,787.23 | $9,894.94 |
+$7.03 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $120.77 | 81 | $9,782.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $123.81 | 81 | $10,028.61 | $10,141.18 |
+$246.24 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $120.61 | 84 | $10,131.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $123.67 | 84 | $10,388.28 | $10,398.22 |
+$257.04 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $124.40 | 83 | $10,324.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $123.15 | 83 | $10,221.04 | $10,294.47 |
$-103.75 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $126.94 | 81 | $10,282.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $125.65 | 81 | $10,177.25 | $10,189.57 |
$-104.90 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $129.76 | 78 | $10,121.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $130.01 | 78 | $10,140.96 | $10,209.25 |
+$19.68 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $140.66 | 72 | $10,127.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $138.85 | 72 | $9,996.84 | $10,078.54 |
$-130.71 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $141.84 | 71 | $10,070.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $145.47 | 71 | $10,328.37 | $10,336.62 |
+$258.08 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $146.46 | 70 | $10,252.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $144.45 | 70 | $10,111.50 | $10,195.92 |
$-140.70 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.68 | 68 | $10,110.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $149.54 | 68 | $10,168.72 | $10,254.40 |
+$58.48 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $151.38 | 67 | $10,142.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $155.20 | 67 | $10,398.40 | $10,510.34 |
+$255.94 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $156.45 | 67 | $10,482.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $154.63 | 67 | $10,359.88 | $10,388.07 |
$-122.27 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.17 | 73 | $10,378.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.74 | 73 | $12,026.02 | $12,035.72 |
+$1,647.65 (+15.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
36d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,035.72
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,035.72
Total Return:
+20.36%