Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 18:37:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.6/35
Total Return
17.1/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 42.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 41.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,743.52
Current Value
$21,391.93
Period P&L
$3,648.41
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+17.45%
Worst Trade
-5.88%
Avg Trade Return
+5.27%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$244,399.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,648.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,648.41
Gross Return
+20.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $17,743.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.85 82 $16,223.70
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 82 $19,054.34 $19,080.94 +$2,830.64
(+17.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $264.93 72 $19,074.96
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $305.71 72 $22,011.12 $22,017.10 +$2,936.16
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
3 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 51 $21,766.80
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $404.50 51 $20,629.50 $20,879.80 $-1,137.30
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $424.43 49 $20,797.13
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $399.48 49 $19,574.52 $19,657.19 $-1,222.61
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
5 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 41 $19,264.67
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $540.51 41 $22,160.71 $22,553.23 +$2,896.04
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $535.75 42 $22,501.50
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $508.10 42 $21,340.20 $21,391.93 $-1,161.30
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,391.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,391.93
Total Return: +113.92%
Back to Surge