Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

6
+2.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,551.63
Current Value
$9,612.96
Period P&L
$-3,938.67
Max Drawdown
-34.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.54

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
1 / 8
Best Trade
+15.10%
Worst Trade
-8.21%
Avg Trade Return
-3.60%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$185,500.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,938.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,938.67
Gross Return
-29.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,551.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $367.21 36 $13,219.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $348.71 36 $12,553.74 $12,885.81 $-665.82
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $333.29 38 $12,665.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.93 38 $11,625.34 $11,846.13 $-1,039.68
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $325.53 36 $11,719.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $301.93 36 $10,869.66 $10,996.71 $-849.42
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $282.16 38 $10,722.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:05am ET $268.04 38 $10,185.52 $10,460.15 $-536.56
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $250.68 41 $10,277.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET $237.97 41 $9,756.77 $9,939.04 $-521.11
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $261.88 37 $9,689.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET $247.70 37 $9,164.90 $9,414.38 $-524.66
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $245.73 38 $9,337.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $231.30 38 $8,789.40 $8,866.04 $-548.34
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $252.35 35 $8,832.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:05am ET $238.07 35 $8,332.45 $8,366.24 $-499.80
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $258.01 32 $8,256.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $296.97 32 $9,503.04 $9,612.96 +$1,246.72
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,612.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-387.04
Total Return: -3.87%
Back to Surge