Compendium › Surge › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-14.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,112.49
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$17,672.31
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 18:36:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.4/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 35.0/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 32.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,672.31
Current Value
$15,112.49
Period P&L
$-2,559.82
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-71.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.02%
Worst Trade
-5.19%
Avg Trade Return
-5.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,859.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,559.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,559.82
Gross Return
-14.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $17,672.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $154.76 114 $17,643.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $146.73 114 $16,727.22 $16,756.32 $-915.99
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
2 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.95 116 $16,698.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:50am ET $136.73 116 $15,860.10 $15,918.22 $-838.10
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $148.30 107 $15,868.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $140.77 107 $15,062.37 $15,112.49 $-805.73
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,112.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,112.49
Total Return: +51.12%
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