Compendium › Surge › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.35%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,611.95
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,574.77
Period Start
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Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 14.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 13.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,574.77
Current Value
$10,611.95
Period P&L
$37.18
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+15.12%
Worst Trade
-7.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$67,854.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$37.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$37.18
Gross Return
+0.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,574.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $47.35 223 $10,559.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET $54.51 223 $12,155.73 $12,171.45 +$1,596.68
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $57.67 211 $12,167.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $53.16 211 $11,216.76 $11,220.89 $-950.56
(-7.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
31d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:15am ET $54.81 204 $11,182.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET $51.83 204 $10,573.32 $10,611.95 $-608.94
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,611.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$611.95
Total Return: +6.12%
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