Compendium › Surge › REGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
REGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+0.96%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,760.24
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$7,686.17
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:46:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,686.17
Current Value
$7,760.24
Period P&L
$74.07
Max Drawdown
-40.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+2.60%
Worst Trade
-1.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
21.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$57,986.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$74.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$74.07
Gross Return
+0.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,686.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $778.89 9 $7,010.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $776.70 9 $6,990.30 $7,666.46 $-19.71
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $760.96 10 $7,609.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $780.71 10 $7,807.10 $7,864.01 +$197.55
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $790.00 9 $7,110.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $777.94 9 $7,001.46 $7,755.47 $-108.54
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $802.94 9 $7,226.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $803.47 9 $7,231.23 $7,760.24 +$4.77
(+0.1%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,760.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,239.76
Total Return: -22.40%
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