Compendium › Surge › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,056.71
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$12,277.55
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 21.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,277.55
Current Value
$12,056.71
Period P&L
$-220.84
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+15.08%
Worst Trade
-5.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
9.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$94,974.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-220.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-220.84
Gross Return
-1.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,277.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.52 221 $12,269.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:05am ET $52.73 221 $11,653.33 $11,660.96 $-616.59
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $53.45 218 $11,652.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.60 218 $11,029.71 $11,038.57 $-622.39
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $52.93 208 $11,009.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:45am ET $60.91 208 $12,669.28 $12,698.41 +$1,659.84
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $61.19 207 $12,666.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:45am ET $58.09 207 $12,024.63 $12,056.71 $-641.70
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,056.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,056.71
Total Return: +20.57%
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