Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:58

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 18.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,795.05
Current Value
$12,101.11
Period P&L
$1,306.06
Max Drawdown
-38.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+15.73%
Worst Trade
-6.19%
Avg Trade Return
+1.51%
Avg Hold Time
10.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$140,592.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,306.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,306.06
Gross Return
+12.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,795.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $40.31 282 $11,367.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $37.81 282 $10,663.83 $10,667.02 $-703.59
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $41.59 256 $10,647.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $39.42 256 $10,091.52 $10,111.50 $-555.52
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $37.73 267 $10,073.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $43.67 267 $11,658.56 $11,696.12 +$1,584.62
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $42.62 274 $11,677.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $49.03 274 $13,434.25 $13,452.49 +$1,756.37
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $39.29 342 $13,437.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET $37.22 342 $12,730.95 $12,746.23 $-706.26
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.88 336 $12,727.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET $35.96 336 $12,082.56 $12,101.11 $-645.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
34d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,101.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,101.11
Total Return: +21.01%
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