Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 34.1/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 28.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,908.74
Current Value
$13,860.34
Period P&L
$1,951.60
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
3.70

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+10.52%
Worst Trade
+6.04%
Avg Trade Return
+8.28%
Avg Hold Time
51d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$49,090.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,951.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,951.60
Gross Return
+16.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,908.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $346.61 34 $11,784.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $367.55 34 $12,496.70 $12,620.70 +$711.96
(+6.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $346.61 34 $11,784.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $383.07 34 $13,024.38 $13,860.34 +$1,239.64
(+10.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
56d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,860.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,860.34
Total Return: +38.60%
Back to Surge