Compendium › Surge › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 24 trades in period

+1.99%
Last 6 Months Return
$22,135.48
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$21,702.54
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.0/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 57.0/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 54.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,357
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,702.54
Current Value
$22,135.48
Period P&L
$432.94
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
7 / 17
Best Trade
+15.91%
Worst Trade
-6.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,005,575.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$432.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$432.94
Gross Return
+1.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $21,702.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:15am ET $293.07 74 $21,686.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET $289.99 74 $21,459.26 $21,474.99 $-227.55
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET $284.86 75 $21,364.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET $273.00 75 $20,475.00 $20,585.49 $-889.50
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $252.83 81 $20,478.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:20am ET $250.03 81 $20,252.03 $20,358.69 $-226.80
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET $250.79 81 $20,313.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET $257.26 81 $20,838.06 $20,882.76 +$524.07
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 12:40pm ET $261.79 79 $20,681.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET $275.26 79 $21,745.15 $21,946.89 +$1,064.13
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:15am ET $277.67 79 $21,935.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:20am ET $273.35 79 $21,594.26 $21,605.22 $-341.67
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET $271.30 79 $21,432.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:25am ET $268.53 79 $21,213.48 $21,386.39 $-218.83
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $275.63 77 $21,223.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:10am ET $272.59 77 $20,989.05 $21,151.92 $-234.47
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:25am ET $279.49 75 $20,961.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:00am ET $275.36 75 $20,651.66 $20,841.83 $-310.09
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $276.94 75 $20,770.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $265.39 75 $19,904.16 $19,975.49 $-866.34
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:25am ET $253.67 78 $19,786.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:30pm ET $250.43 78 $19,533.35 $19,722.58 $-252.91
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:15am ET $235.56 83 $19,551.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 2:05pm ET $232.81 83 $19,323.23 $19,494.33 $-228.25
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $233.29 83 $19,363.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $254.11 83 $21,091.13 $21,222.39 +$1,728.06
(+8.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $255.85 82 $20,979.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $252.62 82 $20,714.43 $20,957.12 $-265.27
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET $244.64 85 $20,794.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:55am ET $250.77 85 $21,315.03 $21,477.75 +$520.63
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET $252.70 84 $21,226.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $250.02 84 $21,001.68 $21,252.63 $-225.12
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $242.08 87 $21,060.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET $238.56 87 $20,754.72 $20,946.43 $-306.20
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:45am ET $159.17 131 $20,851.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $163.38 131 $21,402.78 $21,497.94 +$551.51
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $165.05 130 $21,456.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:10am ET $163.10 130 $21,203.65 $21,245.09 $-252.85
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $166.17 127 $21,103.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $164.30 127 $20,866.10 $21,007.60 $-237.49
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:00am ET $157.26 133 $20,915.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:20am ET $161.25 133 $21,446.25 $21,538.27 +$530.67
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 105 $21,386.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $190.04 105 $19,954.20 $20,106.07 $-1,432.20
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 122 $20,062.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $190.62 122 $23,255.64 $23,298.81 +$3,192.74
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 113 $23,183.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.87 113 $22,019.75 $22,135.48 $-1,163.33
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,135.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,135.48
Total Return: +121.35%
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