Compendium › Surge › GLD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GLD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.59%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,558.79
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,393.36
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,393.36
Current Value
$10,558.79
Period P&L
$165.43
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+3.95%
Worst Trade
-5.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
34d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$61,131.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$165.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$165.43
Gross Return
+1.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,393.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $420.21 24 $10,085.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $434.29 24 $10,422.96 $10,731.28 +$337.92
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $399.58 26 $10,389.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $377.74 26 $9,821.24 $10,163.44 $-567.84
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $384.96 26 $10,008.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $400.17 26 $10,404.31 $10,558.79 +$395.35
(+4.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,558.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$558.79
Total Return: +5.59%
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