Compendium › Surge › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+12.49%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,683.17
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$11,275.27
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:01:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 27.5/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 22.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,275.27
Current Value
$12,683.17
Period P&L
$1,407.90
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+11.24%
Worst Trade
-5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+4.49%
Avg Hold Time
42.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$73,016.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,407.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,407.90
Gross Return
+12.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,275.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $77.51 145 $11,238.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $83.13 145 $12,053.13 $12,089.44 +$814.17
(+7.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $77.51 145 $11,238.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $86.22 145 $12,501.90 $13,352.39 +$1,262.95
(+11.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
57d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $93.85 142 $13,326.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $89.14 142 $12,657.17 $12,683.17 $-669.22
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,683.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,683.17
Total Return: +26.83%
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