Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 16.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.6

30-Day Momentum

9
+3.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.6 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,443.85
Current Value
$11,544.94
Period P&L
$2,101.09
Max Drawdown
-46.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+16.39%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
+2.33%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$206,331.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,101.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,101.09
Gross Return
+22.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,443.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $53.07 177 $9,393.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $50.17 177 $8,880.09 $8,930.87 $-512.98
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.99 171 $8,890.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $49.35 171 $8,438.85 $8,479.43 $-451.44
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $51.69 164 $8,477.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:25am ET $49.10 164 $8,052.40 $8,053.85 $-425.58
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
4 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $58.45 137 $8,007.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:35am ET $54.87 137 $7,516.64 $7,562.84 $-491.01
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $52.09 145 $7,553.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $60.29 145 $8,742.05 $8,751.84 +$1,189.00
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $71.51 122 $8,724.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET $82.68 122 $10,086.96 $10,113.97 +$1,362.13
(+15.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $57.62 175 $10,083.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $54.59 175 $9,553.25 $9,583.72 $-530.25
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $118.10 81 $9,566.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $137.45 81 $11,133.45 $11,151.12 +$1,567.40
(+16.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $147.42 75 $11,056.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $139.65 75 $10,473.75 $10,568.71 $-582.41
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $153.62 68 $10,446.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $145.58 68 $9,899.44 $10,021.99 $-546.72
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $152.56 65 $9,916.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $175.99 65 $11,439.35 $11,544.94 +$1,522.95
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,544.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,544.94
Total Return: +15.45%
Back to Surge