Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:05:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.9/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 34.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.5

30-Day Momentum

0
+0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.5 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,032.20
Current Value
$16,812.25
Period P&L
$4,780.05
Max Drawdown
-21.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+15.23%
Worst Trade
-6.78%
Avg Trade Return
+3.68%
Avg Hold Time
7.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$320,210.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,780.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,780.05
Gross Return
+39.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,032.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $221.42 54 $11,956.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $210.02 54 $11,341.08 $11,416.60 $-615.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 51 $11,395.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $212.13 51 $10,818.88 $10,839.79 $-576.81
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $184.50 58 $10,701.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $212.18 58 $12,306.73 $12,445.52 +$1,605.73
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.24 59 $12,403.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:40am ET $241.78 59 $14,265.02 $14,306.67 +$1,861.15
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $217.74 65 $14,153.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $250.56 65 $16,286.40 $16,439.97 +$2,133.30
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $233.57 70 $16,349.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $218.04 70 $15,262.80 $15,353.22 $-1,086.75
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $259.17 59 $15,291.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:10am ET $298.66 59 $17,620.94 $17,682.84 +$2,329.62
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
28.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $312.94 56 $17,524.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $297.22 56 $16,644.32 $16,802.52 $-880.32
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $298.75 56 $16,730.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $278.50 56 $15,595.86 $15,668.38 $-1,134.14
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $298.75 56 $16,730.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $280.20 56 $15,690.92 $14,629.30 $-1,039.08
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $295.50 49 $14,479.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:10am ET $340.05 49 $16,662.45 $16,812.25 +$2,182.95
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,812.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,812.25
Total Return: +68.12%
Back to Surge