Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:46:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,020
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,046.04
Current Value
$7,760.24
Period P&L
$714.20
Max Drawdown
-40.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
13 / 9
Best Trade
+4.57%
Worst Trade
-1.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
23.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$319,944.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$714.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$714.20
Gross Return
+10.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,046.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $639.44 11 $7,033.84
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET $656.10 11 $7,217.05 $7,248.28 +$183.21
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:05pm ET $652.35 11 $7,175.85
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $654.88 11 $7,203.68 $7,276.11 +$27.83
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET $660.00 11 $7,260.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $690.14 11 $7,591.54 $7,607.65 +$331.54
(+4.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $703.17 10 $7,031.70
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:10pm ET $695.53 10 $6,955.30 $7,531.25 $-76.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:20am ET $705.33 10 $7,053.30
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:50am ET $712.95 10 $7,129.50 $7,607.45 +$76.20
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:55am ET $713.01 10 $7,130.10
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET $705.87 10 $7,058.70 $7,536.05 $-71.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:20am ET $741.99 10 $7,419.90
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $733.39 10 $7,333.90 $7,450.05 $-86.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET $752.30 9 $6,770.70
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:10am ET $772.53 9 $6,952.77 $7,632.12 +$182.07
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $780.28 9 $7,022.52
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET $786.64 9 $7,079.76 $7,689.36 +$57.24
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 10:10am ET $706.89 10 $7,068.90
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $726.00 10 $7,260.00 $7,880.46 +$191.10
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET $747.09 10 $7,470.90
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:05am ET $739.11 10 $7,391.05 $7,800.61 $-79.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:35am ET $766.40 10 $7,664.00
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:50am ET $758.69 10 $7,586.85 $7,723.46 $-77.15
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET $780.66 9 $7,025.90
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET $783.08 9 $7,047.74 $7,745.31 +$21.85
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $812.36 9 $7,311.24
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $802.68 9 $7,224.12 $7,658.19 $-87.12
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:25am ET $731.77 10 $7,317.70
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $739.18 10 $7,391.80 $7,732.29 +$74.10
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $749.28 10 $7,492.80
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:25am ET $755.28 10 $7,552.78 $7,792.27 +$59.98
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET $764.50 10 $7,645.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $766.23 10 $7,662.25 $7,809.52 +$17.25
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $777.43 10 $7,774.35
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $765.10 10 $7,651.00 $7,686.17 $-123.35
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $778.89 9 $7,010.01
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $776.70 9 $6,990.30 $7,666.46 $-19.71
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $760.96 10 $7,609.55
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $780.71 10 $7,807.10 $7,864.01 +$197.55
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $790.00 9 $7,110.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $777.94 9 $7,001.46 $7,755.47 $-108.54
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $802.94 9 $7,226.46
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $803.47 9 $7,231.23 $7,760.24 +$4.77
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,760.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,239.76
Total Return: -22.40%
Back to Surge