Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 18.9/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 16.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,417.68
Current Value
$12,166.70
Period P&L
$2,749.02
Max Drawdown
-52.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+17.19%
Worst Trade
-6.12%
Avg Trade Return
+3.10%
Avg Hold Time
7.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,050.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,749.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,749.02
Gross Return
+29.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,417.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 391 $9,395.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $27.67 391 $10,817.02 $10,838.97 +$1,421.29
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 345 $10,819.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $36.16 345 $12,475.89 $12,495.66 +$1,656.69
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $44.36 281 $12,465.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $42.11 281 $11,832.91 $11,863.41 $-632.25
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $31.68 374 $11,848.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $30.00 374 $11,220.00 $11,235.09 $-628.32
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $32.43 346 $11,220.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:10am ET $30.77 346 $10,646.42 $10,660.73 $-574.36
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $28.81 370 $10,659.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $27.33 370 $10,112.10 $10,113.13 $-547.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $28.78 351 $10,101.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $27.31 351 $9,584.06 $9,595.40 $-517.73
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $29.67 323 $9,585.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $27.86 323 $8,998.78 $9,009.16 $-586.24
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $29.61 304 $9,001.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $34.70 304 $10,548.80 $10,556.52 +$1,547.36
(+17.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $36.90 286 $10,553.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET $42.53 286 $12,163.58 $12,166.70 +$1,610.18
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
29d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,166.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,166.70
Total Return: +21.67%
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