Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,806.06
Current Value
$9,069.83
Period P&L
$3,263.77
Max Drawdown
-52.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.75

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+30.84%
Worst Trade
-5.37%
Avg Trade Return
+10.35%
Avg Hold Time
8.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$73,682.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,263.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,263.77
Gross Return
+56.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+56.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $5,806.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $156.80 37 $5,801.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $148.87 37 $5,508.26 $5,512.72 $-293.34
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $139.20 39 $5,428.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:50am ET $161.13 39 $6,284.07 $6,368.18 +$855.46
(+15.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
33d held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 35 $6,230.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 35 $8,151.50 $8,289.68 +$1,921.50
(+30.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $285.67 29 $8,284.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:45am ET $330.08 29 $9,572.32 $9,577.71 +$1,288.03
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $378.60 25 $9,465.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $358.29 25 $8,957.13 $9,069.83 $-507.88
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,069.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-930.17
Total Return: -9.30%
Back to Surge