Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.0/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 37.5/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 35.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,945.74
Current Value
$15,923.93
Period P&L
$-3,021.81
Max Drawdown
-15.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+15.45%
Worst Trade
-5.62%
Avg Trade Return
-2.21%
Avg Hold Time
12.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$265,755.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,021.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,021.81
Gross Return
-15.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $18,945.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 1,224 $18,935.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $17.86 1,224 $21,860.64 $21,871.10 +$2,925.36
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $19.51 1,121 $21,870.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $18.51 1,121 $20,749.60 $20,749.99 $-1,121.11
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 1,257 $20,746.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $15.68 1,257 $19,703.48 $19,706.68 $-1,043.31
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.31 1,138 $19,693.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:15am ET $16.43 1,138 $18,703.03 $18,716.62 $-990.06
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
39d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $18.94 988 $18,712.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:20am ET $17.88 988 $17,660.50 $17,664.40 $-1,052.22
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $18.55 952 $17,659.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $17.61 952 $16,767.20 $16,771.90 $-892.50
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.29 970 $16,770.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $16.42 970 $15,922.55 $15,923.93 $-847.97
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,923.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,923.93
Total Return: +59.24%
Back to Surge