Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:25:58

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 18.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,004.78
Current Value
$12,101.11
Period P&L
$2,096.33
Max Drawdown
-38.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+16.00%
Worst Trade
-6.50%
Avg Trade Return
+2.07%
Avg Hold Time
9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$247,918.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,096.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,096.33
Gross Return
+20.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,004.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $77.46 131 $10,147.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $89.15 131 $11,678.64 $11,715.63 +$1,531.38
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $81.43 143 $11,644.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $76.72 143 $10,970.96 $11,042.10 $-673.53
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $54.20 203 $11,002.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $51.45 203 $10,445.16 $10,484.66 $-557.44
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $42.79 245 $10,483.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 245 $9,802.60 $9,803.71 $-680.95
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $38.25 256 $9,792.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $44.37 256 $11,358.90 $11,370.61 +$1,566.90
(+16.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $40.31 282 $11,367.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $37.81 282 $10,663.83 $10,667.02 $-703.59
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $41.59 256 $10,647.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $39.42 256 $10,091.52 $10,111.50 $-555.52
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $37.73 267 $10,073.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $43.67 267 $11,658.56 $11,696.12 +$1,584.62
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $42.62 274 $11,677.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $49.03 274 $13,434.25 $13,452.49 +$1,756.37
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $39.29 342 $13,437.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET $37.22 342 $12,730.95 $12,746.23 $-706.26
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.88 336 $12,727.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET $35.96 336 $12,082.56 $12,101.11 $-645.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
34d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,101.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,101.11
Total Return: +21.01%
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