Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 17.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.8

30-Day Momentum

8
+2.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.5 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,275.17
Current Value
$11,307.15
Period P&L
$3,031.98
Max Drawdown
-35.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+19.01%
Worst Trade
-7.44%
Avg Trade Return
+3.30%
Avg Hold Time
8.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,729.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,031.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,031.98
Gross Return
+36.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,275.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $116.71 70 $8,169.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 70 $9,723.00 $9,828.47 +$1,553.30
(+19.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 73 $9,728.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $126.26 73 $9,216.98 $9,317.38 $-511.09
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $119.89 77 $9,231.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 77 $10,728.40 $10,814.25 +$1,496.87
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $146.01 74 $10,804.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $135.51 74 $10,027.74 $10,037.25 $-777.00
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $143.61 69 $9,909.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $136.09 69 $9,390.21 $9,518.37 $-518.88
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $135.56 70 $9,489.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $128.32 70 $8,982.40 $9,011.57 $-506.80
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $112.24 80 $8,979.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET $129.14 80 $10,331.20 $10,363.57 +$1,352.00
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $138.35 74 $10,237.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.06 74 $9,476.29 $9,601.96 $-761.61
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $112.24 80 $8,979.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $130.10 80 $10,408.00 $11,030.76 +$1,428.80
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $134.80 81 $10,918.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $127.96 81 $10,364.76 $10,476.72 $-554.04
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $133.89 78 $10,443.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $154.70 78 $12,066.60 $12,099.90 +$1,623.18
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $159.44 75 $11,958.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $148.87 75 $11,165.25 $11,307.15 $-792.75
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,307.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,307.15
Total Return: +13.07%
Back to Surge