Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:51

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 4.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,208.54
Current Value
$8,972.22
Period P&L
$-5,236.32
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-10.84

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
0 / 8
Best Trade
-5.02%
Worst Trade
-6.49%
Avg Trade Return
-5.59%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$182,918.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,236.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,236.32
Gross Return
-36.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-36.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $14,208.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $56.76 250 $14,190.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.53 250 $13,381.25 $13,399.79 $-808.75
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.10 243 $13,388.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $52.33 243 $12,716.19 $12,727.07 $-672.72
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $37.10 343 $12,727.01 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $35.03 343 $12,017.00 $12,017.06 $-710.01
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $28.25 425 $12,008.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $26.80 425 $11,390.00 $11,398.69 $-618.37
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $28.52 399 $11,381.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $27.08 399 $10,804.92 $10,822.14 $-576.55
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $25.74 420 $10,810.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $24.07 420 $10,109.40 $10,120.74 $-701.40
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.44 397 $10,099.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $23.84 397 $9,464.48 $9,485.54 $-635.20
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.98 499 $9,471.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $17.95 499 $8,957.70 $8,972.22 $-513.32
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,972.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,027.78
Total Return: -10.28%
Back to Surge