Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:37:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 4.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,165.25
Current Value
$9,030.93
Period P&L
$-2,134.32
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+15.36%
Worst Trade
-5.53%
Avg Trade Return
-2.32%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$151,280.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,134.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,134.32
Gross Return
-19.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,165.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $32.92 328 $10,799.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $37.98 328 $12,457.44 $12,487.09 +$1,658.37
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $36.83 339 $12,485.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $34.96 339 $11,851.44 $11,853.16 $-633.93
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.54 415 $11,844.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $27.03 415 $11,217.45 $11,226.51 $-626.65
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $24.06 466 $11,209.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $22.75 466 $10,599.17 $10,616.05 $-610.46
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $22.69 467 $10,598.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $21.51 467 $10,047.50 $10,064.99 $-551.06
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $22.54 446 $10,052.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:35pm ET $21.41 446 $9,546.63 $9,558.78 $-506.21
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.73 510 $9,549.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.69 510 $9,021.90 $9,030.93 $-527.85
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,030.93
Net Profit/Loss: $-969.07
Total Return: -9.69%
Back to Surge