Compendium › Surge › ACN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ACN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 16 trades in period

-19.98%
Year to Date Return
$8,715.33
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,891.04
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:06:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 6.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,484
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
184 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,891.04
Current Value
$8,715.33
Period P&L
$-2,175.71
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
4 / 12
Best Trade
+15.32%
Worst Trade
-8.03%
Avg Trade Return
-1.26%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$327,093.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,175.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,175.71
Gross Return
-19.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 184 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,891.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET $265.53 41 $10,886.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $270.63 41 $11,095.83 $11,100.14 +$209.10
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $270.60 41 $11,094.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $273.68 41 $11,220.88 $11,226.42 +$126.28
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $282.55 39 $11,019.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $278.35 39 $10,855.65 $11,062.81 $-163.61
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:15am ET $288.90 38 $10,978.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $288.37 38 $10,958.16 $11,042.77 $-20.04
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $288.21 38 $10,951.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $284.38 38 $10,806.25 $10,897.04 $-145.73
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $283.16 38 $10,760.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $280.27 38 $10,650.07 $10,787.03 $-110.01
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $288.89 37 $10,688.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:20am ET $285.77 37 $10,573.49 $10,671.59 $-115.44
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $239.22 44 $10,525.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $238.03 44 $10,473.32 $10,619.23 $-52.36
(-0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $238.97 44 $10,514.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $232.41 44 $10,226.04 $10,330.59 $-288.64
(-2.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $238.15 43 $10,240.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $240.48 43 $10,340.43 $10,430.57 +$99.98
(+1.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $241.04 43 $10,364.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $233.41 43 $10,036.63 $10,102.69 $-327.88
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $194.71 51 $9,929.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 51 $9,206.62 $9,379.36 $-723.33
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.78 66 $9,357.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 66 $8,606.40 $8,628.28 $-751.08
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $160.20 53 $8,490.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:05am ET $184.74 53 $9,791.22 $9,928.90 +$1,300.62
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $192.93 51 $9,839.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 51 $9,078.00 $9,167.47 $-761.43
(-7.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $191.32 47 $8,992.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $181.71 47 $8,540.14 $8,715.33 $-452.14
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,715.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,284.67
Total Return: -12.85%
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