Compendium › Surge › AMC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMC
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+57.79%
Year to Date Return
$12,148.99
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$7,699.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 18.2/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,295
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,699.66
Current Value
$12,148.99
Period P&L
$4,449.32
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
9 / 17
Best Trade
+23.81%
Worst Trade
-6.72%
Avg Trade Return
+2.12%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$501,005.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,449.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,449.32
Gross Return
+57.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+57.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,699.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:50am ET $1.58 4,873 $7,699.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $1.54 4,873 $7,504.42 $7,504.74 $-194.92
(-2.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $1.52 4,953 $7,503.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $1.57 4,953 $7,768.78 $7,769.73 +$264.99
(+3.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $1.73 4,491 $7,769.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $1.78 4,491 $7,971.53 $7,971.83 +$202.10
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET $1.59 5,013 $7,970.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:35am ET $1.63 5,013 $8,186.73 $8,187.89 +$216.06
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:55am ET $1.67 4,912 $8,186.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET $1.65 4,912 $8,104.80 $8,105.86 $-82.03
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:15am ET $1.61 5,035 $8,105.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.59 5,035 $8,005.65 $8,005.66 $-100.20
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET $1.68 4,779 $8,004.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET $1.65 4,779 $7,884.87 $7,885.71 $-119.95
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:20am ET $1.44 5,476 $7,885.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $1.43 5,476 $7,803.30 $7,803.57 $-82.14
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:55am ET $1.48 5,272 $7,802.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $1.47 5,272 $7,723.48 $7,724.49 $-79.08
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET $1.44 5,380 $7,724.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET $1.42 5,380 $7,639.60 $7,640.02 $-84.47
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.49 5,144 $7,638.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $1.47 5,144 $7,562.19 $7,563.37 $-76.65
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $1.37 5,540 $7,562.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $1.34 5,540 $7,423.60 $7,424.87 $-138.50
(-1.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $0.9975 7,443 $7,424.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1.24 7,443 $9,192.11 $9,192.58 +$1,767.71
(+23.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1.32 6,990 $9,191.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $1.51 6,990 $10,589.85 $10,590.58 +$1,398.00
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1.67 6,341 $10,589.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $1.58 6,341 $10,012.44 $10,013.55 $-577.03
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1.47 6,799 $10,012.89 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:45am ET $1.71 6,799 $11,656.89 $11,657.55 +$1,644.00
(+16.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $2.11 5,514 $11,656.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1.97 5,514 $10,873.06 $10,874.01 $-783.54
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $1.92 5,672 $10,873.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $1.82 5,672 $10,323.04 $10,323.26 $-550.75
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $2.00 5,161 $10,322.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $2.32 5,161 $11,971.97 $11,973.23 +$1,649.97
(+16.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET $1.95 6,140 $11,973.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:30am ET $1.85 6,140 $11,328.30 $11,328.53 $-644.70
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $2.09 5,421 $11,328.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:00am ET $1.98 5,421 $10,706.48 $10,706.74 $-621.79
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $2.20 4,855 $10,705.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $2.54 4,855 $12,332.19 $12,333.65 +$1,626.91
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:45am ET $2.38 5,177 $12,333.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:25am ET $2.26 5,177 $11,700.02 $11,700.51 $-633.15
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $2.28 5,131 $11,698.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $2.64 5,131 $13,521.72 $13,523.55 +$1,823.04
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $3.02 4,477 $13,520.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $2.86 4,477 $12,791.68 $12,794.69 $-728.86
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $2.67 4,783 $12,794.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $2.54 4,783 $12,148.82 $12,148.99 $-645.70
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,148.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,148.99
Total Return: +21.49%
Back to Surge