Compendium › Surge › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

+11.47%
Year to Date Return
$16,118.21
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$14,459.44
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.4/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 30.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,962
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,459.44
Current Value
$16,118.21
Period P&L
$1,658.77
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
8 / 16
Best Trade
+19.43%
Worst Trade
-6.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$825,514.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,658.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,658.77
Gross Return
+11.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $14,459.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $209.07 69 $14,425.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $220.58 69 $15,220.02 $15,253.98 +$794.54
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET $219.60 69 $15,152.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $236.67 69 $16,329.89 $16,431.69 +$1,177.71
(+7.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $237.51 69 $16,388.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $234.83 69 $16,202.93 $16,246.42 $-185.27
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $234.93 69 $16,210.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $232.36 69 $16,032.84 $16,069.09 $-177.33
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $246.89 65 $16,047.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $244.41 65 $15,886.65 $15,908.21 $-160.88
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $254.96 62 $15,807.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET $252.34 62 $15,645.38 $15,746.38 $-161.83
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $248.15 63 $15,633.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $245.56 63 $15,470.28 $15,582.89 $-163.49
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $208.23 74 $15,409.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $214.40 74 $15,865.97 $16,039.84 +$456.95
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $214.79 74 $15,894.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET $217.63 74 $16,104.92 $16,250.30 +$210.46
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.85 82 $16,223.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 82 $19,054.34 $19,080.94 +$2,830.64
(+17.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $264.93 72 $19,074.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $305.71 72 $22,011.12 $22,017.10 +$2,936.16
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 51 $21,766.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $404.50 51 $20,629.50 $20,879.80 $-1,137.30
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $424.43 49 $20,797.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $399.48 49 $19,574.52 $19,657.19 $-1,222.61
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
14 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 41 $19,264.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $540.51 41 $22,160.71 $22,553.23 +$2,896.04
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $535.75 42 $22,501.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $508.10 42 $21,340.20 $21,391.93 $-1,161.30
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $544.37 39 $21,230.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $507.75 39 $19,802.25 $19,963.75 $-1,428.18
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $558.33 35 $19,541.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $527.99 35 $18,479.82 $18,902.02 $-1,061.73
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $537.96 35 $18,828.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $508.84 35 $17,809.35 $17,882.77 $-1,019.25
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $517.24 34 $17,586.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $488.98 34 $16,625.32 $16,921.93 $-960.84
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 33 $16,812.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $483.84 33 $15,966.72 $16,075.97 $-845.96
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $504.00 31 $15,624.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $471.14 31 $14,605.49 $15,057.46 $-1,018.51
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $488.80 30 $14,664.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $462.68 30 $13,880.40 $14,273.86 $-783.60
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $477.38 29 $13,844.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:25am ET $452.53 29 $13,123.37 $13,553.21 $-720.65
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $488.88 27 $13,199.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $583.88 27 $15,764.76 $16,118.21 +$2,565.00
(+19.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,118.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,118.21
Total Return: +61.18%
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