Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:20:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 25.3/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,148
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,661.20
Current Value
$11,908.74
Period P&L
$1,247.54
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.54

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+4.82%
Worst Trade
-1.52%
Avg Trade Return
+1.04%
Avg Hold Time
22.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$252,933.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,247.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,247.54
Gross Return
+11.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,661.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $326.11 32 $10,435.36
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $341.83 32 $10,938.56 $11,164.40 +$503.20
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $327.68 34 $11,141.12
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $330.49 34 $11,236.49 $11,259.77 +$95.37
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $330.52 34 $11,237.68
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $331.03 34 $11,254.85 $11,276.94 +$17.17
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $328.93 34 $11,183.62
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $338.56 34 $11,510.87 $11,604.19 +$327.25
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $337.69 34 $11,481.46
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $347.52 34 $11,815.51 $11,938.24 +$334.05
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET $349.30 34 $11,876.03
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $345.73 34 $11,754.98 $11,817.19 $-121.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $345.57 34 $11,749.38
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $340.32 34 $11,570.88 $11,638.69 $-178.50
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET $358.40 32 $11,468.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $368.00 32 $11,776.00 $11,945.89 +$307.20
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $378.20 31 $11,724.20
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $374.39 31 $11,606.09 $11,827.78 $-118.11
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $366.72 32 $11,735.04
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $368.50 32 $11,792.00 $11,884.74 +$56.96
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:05am ET $369.07 32 $11,810.24
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 32 $11,834.24 $11,908.74 +$24.00
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,908.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,908.74
Total Return: +19.09%
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