Compendium › Surge › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 21 trades in period

+31.88%
Year to Date Return
$17,268.15
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$13,093.86
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 31.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 30.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,093.86
Current Value
$17,268.15
Period P&L
$4,174.29
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
7 / 14
Best Trade
+15.30%
Worst Trade
-6.53%
Avg Trade Return
+1.56%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$562,142.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,174.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,174.29
Gross Return
+31.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,093.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $464.33 28 $13,001.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $459.49 28 $12,865.72 $12,958.34 $-135.52
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $459.68 28 $12,871.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $474.51 28 $13,286.14 $13,373.44 +$415.10
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET $480.20 27 $12,965.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET $469.00 27 $12,663.00 $13,071.04 $-302.40
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET $467.96 27 $12,634.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET $462.40 27 $12,484.78 $12,920.90 $-150.14
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $458.98 28 $12,851.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $454.26 28 $12,719.28 $12,788.74 $-132.16
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET $454.14 28 $12,715.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET $449.11 28 $12,575.08 $12,647.90 $-140.84
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET $457.57 27 $12,354.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $452.98 27 $12,230.44 $12,523.95 $-123.95
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $464.95 26 $12,088.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET $483.00 26 $12,558.00 $12,993.38 +$469.43
(+3.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET $415.82 31 $12,890.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $411.39 31 $12,753.06 $12,855.92 $-137.46
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $399.67 32 $12,789.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $410.21 32 $13,126.72 $13,193.20 +$337.28
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $411.09 32 $13,154.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $405.77 32 $12,984.64 $13,022.96 $-170.24
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $429.94 30 $12,898.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $429.44 30 $12,883.20 $13,007.96 $-15.00
(-0.1%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $445.55 29 $12,920.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 29 $12,076.76 $12,163.77 $-844.19
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $447.65 27 $12,086.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $424.34 27 $11,457.18 $11,534.40 $-629.37
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $408.34 28 $11,433.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $470.40 28 $13,171.20 $13,272.08 +$1,737.68
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
16 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 27 $13,176.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $561.70 27 $15,165.90 $15,261.98 +$1,989.90
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 21 $14,592.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $659.35 21 $13,846.35 $14,516.06 $-745.92
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 80 $14,422.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:30am ET $207.87 80 $16,629.60 $16,723.26 +$2,207.20
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $194.65 85 $16,545.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $184.04 85 $15,643.40 $15,821.41 $-901.85
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $208.20 75 $15,615.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:35am ET $197.40 75 $14,804.63 $15,010.95 $-810.46
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 72 $14,976.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:35am ET $239.35 72 $17,233.20 $17,268.15 +$2,257.20
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,268.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,268.15
Total Return: +72.68%
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